US EconomyApr 10, 2026, 12:14 PM ETS&P 500 Index (SP500), SPX, DJI, NDX, SPY, DIA, QQQ, IVV, VOO, IWMEugenio Catone6.3K FollowersCommentsSummaryUS real GDP growth has sharply decelerated from 4.4% in Q3 2025 to just 0.5% in Q4, with Q1 2026 forecasts at 1.31%.Downward GDP revisions are driven by weakening consumer spending, lower investments, and declining exports, exacerbated by the US-Iran conflict.Headline CPI rose 3.3% YoY in March, with energy prices spiking—gasoline up 21.2% MoM—raising stagflation risks.Despite economic red flags, equities remain near all-time highs; I recommend caution and suggest choosing less speculative companies.Naphatthakan Trakunchansaeng/iStock via Getty ImagesReal GDP is not showing encouraging signsAt the core of a solid economy there is a fast-growing real GDP, which is what the US delivered in Q3 2025. Back then, the real GDP was growing byThis article was written byEugenio Catone6.3K FollowersPassionate about geopolitics and macroeconomics, I express my opinion through my articles and enjoy engaging with all of you. I also write about companies that catch my attention, particularly those in my portfolio. For me, Seeking Alpha is a way to expand and share my knowledge. Graduate in business economics, CFA Level 1 and popular investor on eToro.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Comments