$ADA locked, and cocked.Cardano / US DollarBINANCE:ADAUSDGoneLiminalHello Traders I want to begin this analysis by saying thanks to all who follow my Thesis and Ideas. I have not posted in a couple weeks as I have been travelling in Europe and in general having a great time. Thank you to those traders who have requested an update or asked specific questions about where I see ADA moving next. I will endeavor to answer all questions in this post. I do not post often as I am not interested in monetization of these posts and I share them freely, If you share them I ask you just provide credit. Also My Thesis is intact and continues to thrive, thus not requiring daily or spot updates, My vision is based on W and M timeframes and I look to track large multi year movement and not shorter timeframe trading. As a recap on my style of analysis I remind all that I factor all available information and attempt to create a "story" of where the market is going, feel free to disagree or amend my thesis based on your research, I'd love to hear what you think if you do have alterations. lets start eating crayons: :) General updates: 1 Midnight has extended the timeframe for token claims to allow more folks to secure their FREE bags. 2 Midnight and Cardano have partnered with $google 3 The SEC has removed the requirement for the usual filing of boring paperwork for several "blue chip" cryptos, ADA being one of them as it is considered Mature and has never, in 8 + yrs been hacked or shut down, (Sorry SOL) thus demonstrating resilience and security and attracting institutional partnerships and investment. 4 Still in the rumor stage, however there is a TONNE of discussion between Cardano and USDC, both seeing the value of a partnership. while Cardano stable coin USDM has been growing quietly in the background. 5 Online sentiment regarding ADA has also been growing and based on all the points above, is generating a lot of HYPE 6 Polymarket odds of ADA ETF approval have surged to 95% 7 ETF approval seems extremely likely, and will attract never before seen liquidity to the Network 8 projects on ADA such as wallets and defi protocols are innovating and updating their products seemingly weekly at this point. wallets are faster, more secure, and TX fees remain lower than ETH while liquid staking NEVER requires "locking" and you ALWAYS have 100% access to 100% of your ada and can do whatever you want with it 100% of the time. 9 Charles Hoskinson has called out coin telegraph for essentially S*&t talking Cardano and not retracting. I am thankful for Charles recent publicity as he is definingly Championing the community and making waves. I want this leadership, as he will defend you, and not participate in VC ponzi schemes which are designed to move liquidity to the wealthy. 10 ADA is among the TOP 3 Cryptos and it is beginning to show, this is my opinion however over the last 8 yrs when analyzing security, community, scaling, development, trustworthiness, liquid staking, ranking, lack of criminal activity ( which they attempted to label Charles with) GOVERNANCE, which Cardano remains the ONLY crypto fully DECENTRALIZED, by and of the people. 11 USA rate cuts = major liquidity = price action go up. W TF chart 1 base case, ext target, and Valhalla target have not changed a bit. they are perfectly positioned based on the price movement thus far. 2 The Parabolic Curve is also INTACT. we are getting close to making contact with it, in itself this means nothing however if the price action breaks this PINK line and struggles to maintain support, it could be a bad sign. I do not foresee this happening as the true and final move of the BULL Market is just beginning. 3 ADA continues to move withing the accumulation zone REDBOX and has moved to the median point within that zone as we continue to follow BTC moves (currently 123,0000+) ADA was in an exactly similar accumulation box in 2021. The patterns are incredibly similar and have thus far been exact with the one exception of an earlier move at the BTC halving and a longer more stable accumulation to this point however this can be attributed to the Covid Black Swan event of 2020. 2020 from the BTC halving to ADA ATH was halving Apr 2020. cycle peak Sept 2021 REDBOX breakout Nov 2020 ( 7 months after halving) At current: halving Apr 2024 cycle peak REDBOX breakout yet to occur WE ARE 18 MONTHS LATE Comparing the REDBOX zone we can see the ADA is approx 18 months behind however while this sounds extreme if you look at the behavior of the candles, they are creating a much larger MOVE, ( slower, longer and its gonna hit harder) The pattern remains the same. this is due to a much more stable and active Cardano network and a different global economy, global tariffs, domestic policy tensions and the threat of growing combat across the globe between israel and palestine, Russia and ukraine, China and Taiwan. Given all the global tension the money printers are printing new ATH and liquidity is being injected into the system, Gold is at ATH, BTC is at ATH. HOW CAN YOU BE BEARISH WITH THIS SETUP< CARDANO HAS NEVER BEEN MORE VISIBLE SECURE< STABLE< DEVELOPED< OR ENGAGED WITH PARTERS than it is NOW. if we compare the 2020 breakout of the REDBOX we can see that it too 9 months to reach ATH in end Aug 2021. due to this I add 6-9 months of BULLRUN to the point where ADA price action breaks out of the 2025 REDBOX ( yet to happen) the BULL run will end in JULY 2026 however I apply a conservative filter to this and I am prepared based on market to amend this timeline currently I expect ADA ATH between DEC 2025 and JULY 2026 I cannot say if we will be at ATH by December 2025 as none of us know what will happen, I can only forecast what should happen based on available information once we breakout beyond $1 it is a 208% move to ATH last cycle once we broke above .12 REDBOX we took 7 weeks to reach 208%. using this logic we should be at ATH 7 weeks after we breakout past 1$ which I suspect coincides with END 2025 or early 2026. however be prepared for the timeline to stretch to July 2026 Q2. CURRENTLY ADA needs to break the .236 Fibonacci at .899 then break the REDBOX upper limit at .973 before the psychological $1 limit, I expect these to be taken out successively and quickly one ADA makes its move. WOW this was a missive download. if you have any questions ask below. as always remember a trader who said he never had a chance, NEVER took a chance. facta non verba num num crayons GL out