Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish above the AVWAP

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Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish above the AVWAPBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDThecantillonreportBitcoin’s 4h structure remains bullish above the institutional VWAP, and the most attractive opportunity right now is a pullback long into the 76–75k demand band rather than chasing fresh highs near 79–80k. Bitcoin is trading in the mid‑70k region after repeatedly testing resistance just below 80k, a level that broader market analysis also highlights as the next key breakout line. Institutional flows and ETF demand continue to underpin a constructive bias as long as BTC holds above the 70–72k higher‑timeframe support band. Key levels: EPH (Extension / Expansion High): Sits just below 80k and marks the latest swing high where BTC stalled after the most recent leg up. This zone overlaps with widely watched resistance between 78k and 80k that has capped price multiple times in April. Upper range level – 76,132: Local 4h resistance turned potential support; several candles have reacted here, making it a key intraday pivot. A sustained 4h close below this level usually opens the path toward the primary demand block around 75k. Primary demand / high‑volume node – 74,973 to ~74.6k: Structural line in the sand – 70–72k: On higher timeframes this band has repeatedly absorbed sell‑offs and is widely tracked as the main bull‑market floor for April. Bias and trade thesis With price above the rising 4h VWAP and the bias indicator set to bullish, the chart favors continuation to the upside as long as pullbacks respect the 75k demand block. Macro and sentiment pieces also frame this zone as a launchpad for a potential attempt to clear the 80k–84k area in late April and early May if resistance finally breaks. Primary thesis: Look to buy dips into the 75k high‑volume node / demand block while VWAP is still rising and the bias flag remains bullish. Use the 76,132 level and the VWAP itself as intraday references to judge whether the retest is shallow (strong trend) or deeper (more complete mean reversion). If BTC were to close cleanly below the yellow demand zone and VWAP on the 4h, that would weaken the bullish thesis and open risk toward 72k and even 70k, levels that broader coverage cites as the next major supports. Trading plan: VWAP‑backed dip buy Only look for longs while: 4h close is above the anchored VWAP. Entry zone: Prefer entries when price trades inside the yellow demand block from about 74,973 down to the mid‑74.6k area, overlapping with the largest volume node on your Institutional Volume Map. Ideal setup: price dips into this zone, wicks below intraday support, and then closes the 4h candle back inside or above the block, signaling absorption by buyers. Confirmation Possible 4h confirmation triggers: Close back above 76,132 after a sweep of the demand zone. Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick off the VWAP line while still within your demand block. Invalidation and risk: Place stops below the lower edge of the yellow zone and the VWAP, in the area where your volume profile thins out, because a move there suggests the high‑volume node has failed. If BTC closes a full 4h candle below both VWAP and the demand block, treat it as a structural warning and step aside; external technical commentary sees breakdowns below 73–70k as opening room toward 65–60k. Targets Target 1: 76,132 – first trouble area and logical place to take partial profit or move stop to breakeven. Target 2: 77.5–78k – the recent mini‑distribution zone on your chart and the area where many shorts are positioned according to derivatives commentary. Stretch target: EPH around 79–80k; a clean breakout above this region on strong momentum opens projections toward 83–84k and potentially 85–90k over the next month if short covering accelerates. Alternative view: EPH failure and mean reversion Because BTC is trading near cycle highs, it is important to define what would flip this chart from “buy dips” to “fade extensions.” Watch the VWAP deviation panel: when BTC trades several percent above VWAP and retests the EPH region but fails to close above it, the risk of a sharp mean‑reversion leg grows. A rejection from the EPH with deviation still stretched could justify tactical shorts back into 76,132 and possibly the 75k demand block, especially if broader market sentiment cools after repeated failures below 80k. In that scenario, BTC would likely oscillate between roughly 75k support and 80k resistance while the market waits for a macro catalyst such as the next FOMC event or ETF flow shift.