Eurex Weighs Entry into Prediction Markets as CME, Cboe Push Event Contracts: Report

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Eurex is considering a move into prediction markets as majorUS exchanges develop contracts allowing traders to bet on economic events. According to Risk.net, Zubin Ramdarshan, the global co-headof derivatives products and markets at Eurex, said the exchange has researchedthe concept for several years and frequently raised it in budget discussions.U.S. Rivals Accelerate Event-Based ProductsUS exchanges including CME, Cboe, and Nasdaq are preparingbinary contracts tied to asset prices and macroeconomic indicators such asinflation, unemployment, and interest rate decisions.CME is exploring ways to combine retail and institutionalaccess, a model Eurex may study for its own framework.Non-bank market-maker Susquehanna International Grouplaunched a prediction desk in 2023 targeting retail clients. Robert Switzer,its European head of derivatives sales, said the next step will be expandinginstitutional participation.Eurex already lists dividend derivatives regulated by the USCommodity Futures Trading Commission as event contracts. Ramdarshan said thiscould form the basis for any future move into prediction markets.The exchange continues to deepen liquidity in short-termcontracts, adding same-day options on the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX in 2023. Eurexhas not confirmed whether prediction markets would target retail,institutional, or both categories of investors.Major Exchanges Race into Event Trading Elsewhere, CME, the world's largest derivatives marketplace,launched event contracts in late 2022 for retail traders on benchmarks likeS&P 500, oil, gold, and currencies. By February 2026, these hit 100 million contracts traded injust eight weeks, covering financial indicators, cultural events, andsports—showing strong retail and expanding institutional uptake.Cboe Global Markets actively develops regulated"all-or-nothing" binary options for event-style trading, targetingS&P 500 outcomes by mid-2026 under SEC oversight. Plans avoid sports betsinitially but aim to compete directly with prediction markets.At the same time, Nasdaq explores binary contracts for assetprices and economic data but has not confirmed launches as of early 2026. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), Eurex's parent group viaDeutsche Börse ties, invests up to $2 billion in Polymarket (2025) todistribute event data institutionally and eyes listing weather or inflationbinaries on ICE Futures U.S.This article was written by Jared Kirui at www.financemagnates.com.