Daily Bias April 15 E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Jun 2026)CME_MINI:ESM2026Cleo-tradesES Futures — April 15, 2026 | 10-Day Streak — Waiting For Confirmed Rejection Too much unfinished business below to ignore — but market too strong to fade blindly Cleo # TLDR Bias: No confirmed bias — cautiously bearish retracement expected Draw on Liquidity: SPI 6,964.25 + LVN/void cluster below Invalidation: Price holds above 7,009 and pushes to new highs # Analysis HTF: The S&P 500 turned positive for 2026. Wall Street’s TACO trade — “Trump Always Chickens Out” — has driven nine of the ten best S&P days since Trump’s second term began. Fortune NQ on a 10-day win streak. Structural bearish thesis compromised but not invalidated — zero retracement in 7 sessions is unsustainable. Liquidity: Massive SPI, LVN, value area, and POC left untouched below. 6,964.25 SPI is the nearest draw. Price has too much unfinished business to continue straight up. Narrative: PPI +0.5% MoM, well below the +1.1% estimate — core PPI just +0.1%. JPMorgan +13% profits, Citi beat, BlackRock beat. TheStreet Iran ceasefire 2-week truce expires next week — second round of talks being arranged. Oil back below $95. Citadel CEO Ken Griffin warned a recession is unavoidable if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut for 6–12 months. CNBC — CleоTrades | ES Futures Trader & Market Analyst