EURUSD 4H Outlook: Why I’m Still Holding My Buy Into Supply

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EURUSD 4H Outlook: Why I’m Still Holding My Buy Into SupplyEuro vs US DollarBLUEBERRY:EURUSDEvaultFinancialGroupThe Story (From My Perspective) This is one of those trades where I had to slow myself down. When I first mapped this out, the plan was simple — wait for price to return to equilibrium, enter from a position of value, and target liquidity sitting above the highs. Nothing complicated. Price did exactly that. It pushed up cleanly from discount, printed a solid break of structure, and gave me the confidence that buyers were stepping in with intent. That’s when I positioned myself — not chasing the move, but letting price come back to me. Now we’re here. Price is sitting just under a key premium zone around 1.1800–1.1820, and I won’t lie — this is where most traders start second guessing. You see the rejections, the slowing momentum, the small candles… and you start asking yourself if the move is over. I’ve been there before. Closing too early. Getting shaken out right before expansion. So this time, I’m sticking to the plan — but staying realistic about what the chart is telling me. What I’m Seeing (4H Structure) Clear bullish shift from the lows Strong displacement out of discount Higher highs and higher lows still intact Price now consolidating under supply This isn’t a breakdown. It’s not even a reversal yet. It’s compression. And from experience, compression at highs usually means one thing — a move is coming. Key Levels I’m Watching 1.1800 – 1.1820: The level I need to see break for continuation 1.1730 – 1.1700: My line in the sand for structure 1.1650: If we lose momentum, this is where price likely rotates As long as we stay above structure, I’m giving the trade room to play out. My Thought Process Right Now I know I’m not in the best possible entry anymore — price has already moved into premium. But I didn’t chase it. I entered based on structure and timing, and now it’s about managing the trade, not micromanaging every candle. The biggest mistake here would be reacting emotionally to short-term rejection. Because zooming out, nothing has actually broken yet. Fundamentals (Why I’m Not Blindly Bullish) I’m also aware of the bigger picture. The European Central Bank hasn’t been as aggressive, and the Federal Reserve is still holding a relatively stronger stance. That’s why EURUSD tends to stall in these premium areas. So I’m not expecting a straight breakout — if it happens, it needs confirmation. My Plan From Here If we break and hold above 1.1820 → I let it run toward 1.1900 If we start losing 1.1730 → I’m out, no hesitation If we keep ranging → I stay patient and let the setup play out No guessing. Just reacting to what price does. Final Thought This trade isn’t about being right. It’s about trusting the process I followed to get in — and having the discipline to either let it work or cut it cleanly if it doesn’t. Right now, EURUSD is testing patience more than anything else. And from experience… those are usually the trades that matter most. Hashtags: #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #ICT #TradingView #ForexTrader #Discipline #RiskManagement #MarketStructure #Liquidity #DayTrading #SwingTrading