BTC Dominance 2026 Outlook: Base Case vs. Mania ScenarioMarket Cap BTC Dominance, %CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DexnikoBTC Dominance: 60-65% seems to be a pivotal zone. Solid line (G,R) = Base Case - Q1 2026: Dominance spikes to ~65% as BTC leads the relief rally. - Q2 2026: Peak, roll-over as money rotates down the curve (ETH/majors/infra). - Q3 2026: Alt rotation window opens. - Q4 2026+: Distribution settling into 2027. Dashed lines (G,R) = Mania Extensions - Upward mania: BTC supercycle (dominance 70%+, alts lag). - Downward mania: Full alt frenzy (crash to 40s or lower if Q3 rotation goes ballistic). This is directional, cycle likely stretches again (like 2021). Not calling exact levels or dates, just my current macro read on how dominance could resolve into the next rotation phase. (G,R) = (Green and Red)