XAUUSD Intraday OutlookGoldOANDA:XAUUSDHenrybillionXAUUSD Intraday Outlook (1H): Range Reclaim After the Dump, Eyes on 4,365 Then 4,485 Gold (XAUUSD) is trading back inside a large 1H range after a sharp selloff from the 4,52x supply. The key intraday read from the chart is simple: price is attempting to rebuild a base inside the green demand/range zone, and the next directional move will likely be defined by whether bulls can reclaim and hold above the 4,365 range ceiling. With year-end liquidity often thinner, expect sharper wicks around the edges of the range. Trade the levels, not the noise. Market Structure and Price Behavior (1H) A strong impulsive drop broke the previous bullish sequence, creating a new short-term bearish leg. Price then returned into the prior range/demand (large green box), showing acceptance rather than immediate continuation lower. The recent low printed near the bottom of the range and snapped back quickly, suggesting buy-side defense is active. Current bias is “range-to-reclaim”: bullish intraday as long as price holds above the lower band, but still capped until 4,365 is reclaimed. Key Support and Resistance Levels (High Priority) Support Zones 4,318–4,300: intraday decision area (current acceptance zone). 4,295: first support shelf; repeated reaction level. 4,270–4,265: range floor and main invalidation for longs (break and hold below shifts bias back to sell continuation). 4,240–4,216: deeper support if the floor fails (only relevant if 4,265 breaks clean). Resistance Zones 4,355–4,365: range ceiling and the most important intraday trigger level. 4,405: mid resistance on the way up (often a pause/partial TP zone). 4,445: pre-supply reaction level. 4,475–4,485: major supply zone (green band above); primary upside target if 4,365 breaks and holds. 4,525–4,560: higher-timeframe supply zone (top green band); only in play if momentum is strong. Fibonacci Map (Using the Selloff Swing High to Swing Low) From the visible drop (high around 4,52x to low around 4,27x), the most useful retracement cluster for intraday is: Fib 0.382: around 4,36x (lines up with range ceiling 4,365) Fib 0.50: around 4,39x–4,40x (lines up with 4,405 region) Fib 0.618: around 4,42x–4,43x (reaction zone before the 4,445–4,485 supply) This confluence is why 4,365 is the key “go/no-go” level for bullish continuation. EMA and RSI Read (How to Use Them Today) EMA (Practical Use Intraday) If price is below EMA50/EMA200 on 1H, rallies into 4,355–4,405 can still be sold unless price shows strong closes above the EMAs. The clean bullish confirmation is: reclaim 4,365 + hold above EMA50, then use EMA20 as a dynamic support on pullbacks. If price keeps closing back under EMA20 after touching 4,355–4,365, that is a sign the range top is still rejecting. RSI (Confirmation, Not a Signal Alone) RSI recovering back toward 50 supports the “base-build” idea. Bullish continuation is favored if RSI holds above 50 during pullbacks after a 4,365 breakout. Rejection setups are higher probability if RSI fails under 50 at the range top and prints bearish divergence near 4,365. Intraday Trade Plans (Clear Conditions, Clean Invalidation) Plan A: Buy the Dip Inside Demand (Best RR if You Get the Pullback) Entry idea: 4,318–4,300 (or deeper 4,295 if a sweep happens) Stop-loss: below 4,265 (range floor break) Targets: TP1: 4,355–4,365 TP2: 4,405 TP3: 4,445 Management: reduce risk into 4,355–4,365 because it is the major decision ceiling. Plan B: Breakout Buy Above 4,365 (Momentum Confirmation) Trigger: 1H close above 4,365 with follow-through, then a retest that holds (no immediate reclaim failure) Stop-loss: below the retest swing low (or below 4,345 for tighter structure-based risk) Targets: TP1: 4,405 TP2: 4,445 TP3: 4,475–4,485 supply zone Note: A breakout without a hold usually turns into a bull trap. Wait for acceptance. Plan C: Sell Rejection at Range Top (If 4,365 Keeps Failing) Trigger: rejection wicks + weak closes under 4,355, ideally with RSI failing under 50 Stop-loss: above rejection high (above 4,380 is a clean buffer) Targets: TP1: 4,318 TP2: 4,295 TP3: 4,270–4,265 Plan D: Sell at 4,485 Supply (If Price Reaches the Green Band) Trigger: first touch reaction is common; confirm with 1H failure to close above supply Stop-loss: above 4,505 (or above the supply high) Targets: TP1: 4,445 TP2: 4,405 TP3: 4,365 What to Watch During the Session If price holds above 4,295 and keeps building higher lows, the market is preparing for a 4,365 break. A clean reclaim and hold above 4,365 increases the probability of a push into 4,405 then 4,445. The first major upside objective remains 4,475–4,485 supply; expect reaction there. A breakdown and acceptance below 4,265 invalidates the bullish reclaim thesis and opens the door to 4,240–4,216. Risk Note This is a technical analysis view for trading and education, not financial advice. Intraday volatility can spike, especially around range edges and thin liquidity periods. Keep risk fixed per trade and avoid overtrading the middle of the range. If you found these levels and trade plans useful, follow and save this idea to get more session-based XAUUSD strategies.