Accessibility helpSkip to navigationSkip to main contentSkip to footerPhoto essayGet instant alerts for this topicManage your delivery channels herePublishedJanuary 2 2026Jump to comments sectionForecasting the world in 2026Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2026. All rights reserved.Reuse this content (opens in new window) CommentsJump to comments sectionFollow the topics in this articleBanx