USDT.D - Rising Wedge at 6.36% +47.73% YTD | Critical CryptoMarket Cap USDT Dominance, %CRYPTOCAP:USDT.Dofficialjackofalltrades Executive Summary USDT Dominance is trading at 6.362% within a rising wedge pattern on the 4H timeframe. Up +47.73% YTD as investors rotated into stablecoins during crypto weakness. The rising wedge suggests potential bearish reversal (bullish for crypto), but the uptrend remains intact near the 52-week high of 6.749%. BIAS: NEUTRAL - Rising Wedge at Resistance WHY USDT.D MATTERS USDT.D UP = Risk-off = BEARISH for crypto USDT.D DOWN = Risk-on = BULLISH for crypto Leading indicator for BTC, ETH, altcoins Current Market Data Current: 6.362% (+0.57%) Day's Range: 6.270% - 6.399% 52-Week: 3.745% - 6.749% Technical Rating: NEUTRAL Performance: 1W: -0.26% | 1M: +4.67% | 3M: +44.84% 6M: +34.12% | YTD: +47.73% | 1Y: +46.90% Stablecoin Market Context Total stablecoin market: ~$300B (record high) USDT: $187B (64% market share) USDC: $76B (26% market share) Dragonfly predicts USDT share drops to 55% in 2026 Stablecoin market expected to grow 60% in 2026 Technical Structure - 4H Rising Wedge Pattern: Yellow dashed trendlines forming wedge Typically bearish reversal (70% break down) Price compressing near apex Breakdown = BULLISH for crypto Key Levels: Resistance: 6.45% - 6.55% - Upper resistance zone 6.749% - 52-WEEK HIGH Support: 6.15% - 6.25% - Support zone / Breakdown level 5.80% - 5.95% - Major support zone SCENARIO ANALYSIS BEARISH USDT.D (Bullish for Crypto) Trigger: Break below 6.15% Targets: 6.00% → 5.80% → 5.50% Implication: LONG crypto - risk-on rotation BULLISH USDT.D (Bearish for Crypto) Trigger: Break above 6.55% Targets: 6.749% → 7.00% → 7.25% Implication: Reduce crypto exposure - risk-off continues My Assessment Rising wedge at resistance suggests potential breakdown (bullish for crypto). However, +47.73% YTD momentum and risk-off sentiment could push higher. Wait for confirmation. Strategy: Breakdown below 6.15% = BULLISH for crypto Breakout above 6.55% = BEARISH for crypto Use as leading indicator for crypto trades This is not financial advice.