GBP/USD Price Outlook โ€“ Trade Setup

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GBP/USD Price Outlook โ€“ Trade SetupBritish Pound / U.S. DollarFOREXCOM:GBPUSDATFX_Global๐Ÿ“Š Technical Structure GBPUSD GBP/USD has rebounded sharply from the 1.3449โ€“1.3454 support zone, but the recovery has stalled near the 1.3479โ€“1.3484 resistance zone, which aligns with a descending trendline resistance from the late-December highs. This confluence has capped upside attempts so far. On the 1-hour chart, price action shows hesitation candles near resistance, suggesting that bullish momentum is losing strength. The broader structure remains corrective within a descending trend, with price still trading below the key trendline. As long as GBP/USD fails to sustain above 1.3484, the technical bias favours a pullback back toward support. ๐ŸŽฏ Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) Entry Zone: 1.3479 โ€“ 1.3484 Stop Loss: 1.3492 Take Profit 1: 1.3454 Take Profit 2: 1.3449 Estimated Risk-to-Reward: approx. 1 : 2.19 The bearish setup remains valid as long as price stays below 1.3484 on an hourly closing basis. ๐ŸŒ Macro Background (Simplified) From a macro perspective, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 continue to weigh on the US Dollar, which has helped GBP/USD stabilize above recent lows. However, short-term USD weakness may already be partially priced in. At the same time, the Bank of Englandโ€™s gradual easing path limits aggressive upside in Sterling. BoE officials have emphasized that each subsequent rate cut will be a โ€œcloser call,โ€ keeping policy relatively cautious compared with market expectations for the Fed. In short: macro forces support near-term stability, but technical resistance suggests limited upside and a corrective pullback risk. ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3479 โ€“ 1.3484 Support Zone: 1.3454 โ€“ 1.3449 Bearish Invalidation: Hourly close above 1.3484 ๐Ÿ“Œ Trade Summary GBP/USD has recovered from support but is struggling to break above a key resistance zone reinforced by a descending trendline. With upside momentum fading near 1.3484, a short-term pullback toward 1.3454โ€“1.3449 is favoured. The bearish outlook remains valid unless price breaks and holds above 1.3484, which would signal a shift toward bullish continuation. โš ๏ธ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.