Saturday’s feature for three-year-olds, the Group 1 Victoria Derby at Flemington, presents one of the richest staying tests of the spring carnival. With the race run over 2,500 metres under set-weight conditions, it demands not just speed but marked stamina – a rare breed of colt or filly capable of dominating late in the season. This Victoria Derby betting preview focuses on form-cycles, barrier draws and staying stamps to find value in one of Australia’s premier staying contests.Observer heads into the Victoria Derby as the deserved favourite after his eye-catching lead-up performances and proven ability to handle the longer trip. His staying profile, strong late sectionals and tactical versatility make him the benchmark for punters assessing the Flemington classic. With stable confidence high and conditions expected to suit, Observer shapes as the horse to beat – though value hunters may still find opportunity in the exacta and trifecta markets behind him. Expect plenty of betting action as punters line up behind the likely Derby hero.Top Flemington Derby Day 2025 betting offerFlemington Derby Day (Saturday) tips1.20 Regal Award – 10/11 with Paddy Power2.00 Live – 7/1 each way with BetMGM2.40 Hedged – 4/1 each way with bet3653.20 Getta Good Feeling – 4/7 with Sky Bet4.00 King Zephyr – 6/4 NEXT BEST with Paddy Power4.40 Tentyris – 3/1 with bet3655.20 Observer – 11/8 NAP with William Hill6.00 Pride Of Jenni – 4/1 each way with bet3656.40 Generosity – 4/1 each way with Paddy Power*odds provided are correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.Joe’s best horse racing betting tips for Derby Day at Flemington on Saturday (1st November)Find my top tips for today’s racing with odds from the best horse racing bookies below:Flemington Race 1 1.20 Channel 9 Carbine Club Stakes 1600mFavourite backers could get off to a dream start on Derby Day with REGAL AWARD. This improver has won 2 of his last 3 now and romped home by 7 lengths at Caulfield when last seen. He has tons more to come over this trip and should have too much for these rivals.Panova is a promising filly and she also arrives in winning form after winning at Randwick. That is decent form so with more to come should give the favourite most to think about but still might come up short on the day. Bet on REGAL AWARD to win at 10/11 with Paddy Power Flemington Race 2 2.00 The Tab Vanity 1400mObviously Sheza Alibi could prove tough to beat and the betting is certainly suggesting that but LIVE seems decent each way value to me. She was well backed to make a winning start at Geelong and then bumped into the right horse in Napoleonic at the Valley last time. If that horse ran here would be clear favourite so that is quite telling.Of the rest Teine Aulelei is still unexposed and if getting better luck in-running could be another one that has a say. Stardom is quite a big price for a filly that arrives in winning form but this is obviously tougher again. Bet on LIVE each way at 7/1 with BetMGM Flemington Race 3 2.40 G.H. Mumm Rising Fast Stakes 1200mThis is definitely one of the tougher races on the card and a tentative vote goes to HEDGED who I can see running well. He was only denied a nose on return at Cranbourne and should come forward physically from that. His form is stacking up and in an open race he appeals as one that will be in the shake-up in the closing stages.Caballus is likely to go off favourite having won 4 from 15 overall. He caught the eye on return and should be spot on for this now. Both Star Patrol and Disneck complete the shortlist but both need to do more to spring a surprise. Bet on HEDGED each way at 4/1 with bet365 Flemington Race 4 3.20 Hkjc World Pool Wakeful Stakes 2000mNo surprise to see GETTA GOOD FEELING a warm order to take this out. This filly by So You Think showed a nice change of gear to win at this track albeit by a nose on penultimate start. That recent third at Caulfield was a very good run behind Ole Dancer and Apocalyptic and 2000m shouldn’t pose any problems so she is hard to pick holes in.Fashionable has only had 3 runs and got off the mark at Hawkesbury last time running on strongly. She could do better again and looks the danger. Freedom Flame also arrives in winning form but might just be up against it here. Bet on GETTA GOOD FEELING to win at 4/7 with Sky Bet Flemington Race 5 4.00 The Abc Bullion Damien Oliver 1400mI’d be confident KING ZEPHYR can reverse recent form with Zou Sensation here. He was sent off a warm order for the Listed Weekend Hustler at Caulfield but it paid to be on the speed that day and he got caught wide when trying to make ground up. It was a poor ride truth be told and this track will suit much better and he looks a better horse.Zou Sensation is thriving so will be the danger again but Media World definitely makes appeal at a double-figure price and might be worth an each way saver. Bet on KING ZEPHYR to win at 6/4 with Paddy Power Flemington Race 6 4.40 Coolmore Stud Stakes 1200mThe top two in the betting here both look promising and preference is for TENTYRIS. He was a big drifter in the betting when third at this track and then came forward from the run to win at Caulfield last time. I loved how he did that angled off heels and then quickening smartly. This test will suit and with plenty of pace on he is definitely peaking now.Beiwacht hasn’t been seen since winning the Group 1 Golden Rose where he was an impressive winner. Lacks a spin but has a class edge and looks the danger. Raging Force has a good attitude and should be fighting out the remaining price in behind. Bet on TENTYRIS to win at 3/1 with bet365 Flemington Race 7 5.20 Victoria Derby 2500mTime for the big one now and OBSERVER looks a colt to keep firmly on side. He should have won the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas two starts back and then dotted up in the Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase last week. He could have won by a few lengths but was eased late on. He is armed with a good draw and the trip looks within reach so hard to find many weaknesses.Providence finished fast behind the selection last time but is flattered by that margin. He also has a wide draw which makes life tougher again. Options is a double-figure price and might be one that runs better than his price suggests. Bet on OBSERVER to win at 11/8 with William Hill Flemington Race 8 6.00 Empire Rose Stakes 1600mSticking with the likeable PRIDE OF JENNI who is a very decent yardstick. She has won 11 from 41 overall and is 6 from 15 over the trip. She needed a soft lead in the Group 1 King Charles III Stakes at Randwick but couldn’t get clear and was well held in the end. There is potential for her to get in front here though and if she does she might not come back to them.Fangirl got too far back last time and if this pans out more favourably looks a danger to all. Leica Lucy for Chris Waller is another one who could show up big here so don’t underestimate. Bet on PRIDE OF JENNI each way at 4/1 with bet365 Flemington Race 9 6.40 Kirin Ichiban Sprint 1100mA tricky finale to close out Derby Day at Flemington and GENEROSITY should run well under Tommy Berry. She wasn’t disgraced at Randwick last time and was a good third before that. I think the awkward draw cost her last time and I’m expecting a much better performance here.Arabian Summer will find this easier and could be dangerous. She’s Bulletproof has won 5 from 15 overall so is developing a decent strike rate and is another one expected to get involved. Bet on GENEROSITY each way at 4/1 with Paddy Power My top tip for Saturday’s racing at Flemington for Derby DayI’m confident KING ZEPHYR can reverse recent form with Zous Sensation and come out on top in The Abc Bullion Damien Oliver and I’ve doubled him up with OBSERVE in the big one the Group 1 Victoria Derby as he is improving all the time and should confirm form over Providence as the latter has a tough draw as well. Bet a Win Double on KING ZEPHYR and OBSERVER at 5/1 with bet365 About the authorJoe NorrisI’m Joe Norris, co-founder and Director of GetYourTipsOut (GYTO), which I launched in 2009 to provide daily sports betting tips, with the main focus on horse racing. Over the years, I’ve earned a reputation for offering reliable and profitable tips, which led to being named “Best Sports Betting Tipster” in 2023. Alongside my work at GYTO, I also contribute predictions to platforms like Oddschecker, allowing me to share my insights with a wide community of sports enthusiasts and bettors.Find Joe on X: @JoeNorrisGYTOCommercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. T&Cs apply. 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