BTC Pullback Setup – 12–15% Zone (Macro + Alts Outlook)

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BTC Pullback Setup – 12–15% Zone (Macro + Alts Outlook)Bitcoin / US DollarBINANCE:BTCUSDBees-baconBTC was just at $115K and already pulled back to ~$113K. This kind of volatility is exactly why I’m watching for a 12–15% corrective move, lining up with both technicals and macro conditions. 🎯 Pullback Targets 12% → ~$100.3K 15% → ~$96.9K 📊 Technical Outlook Market showing signs of exhaustion after a strong leg up BTC is only up ~7%, while alts are up 20%+ → classic divergence, perfect trap setup Liquidity hunts in play → could be building another bear trap, liquidating both longs & shorts like we saw in the Friday flush Expect another 12–15% pullback, but be cautious of one more overextension before a bigger dump 📰 Macro & Sentiment Backdrop Government shutdown risks → adds uncertainty 100% tariffs chatter → potential black swan event Trump stimulus checks déjà vu → last time markets dipped, then roared back the same month FOMC + data-heavy week → plenty of volatility fuel This week into next could be the checkmate move — chop, traps, and a decisive break either way 🔄 Altcoins & Meme Coins If BTC dips 12–15%: Alts (ETH, SOL, ARB, HBAR, etc.) could see 15–30% pullbacks Meme coins (DOGE, PEPE, PENGU, etc.) could bleed 30–50% before bouncing This divergence (alts ripping while BTC lags) often signals a liquidity drain setup before the next big rotation 🧠 Game Plan Outlook Short-term: expect traps, sideways chop, liquidation hunts Medium-term: the next strong leg higher likely lines up with the Thanksgiving → Christmas rally window (crypto + stocks) Long-term: prepare for a potential Q1 2026 bear market reset after holiday strength ⚠️ Not financial advice — just my outlook connecting technicals with sentiment and macro catalysts.