Why This 2022 Bitcoin Fractal Might Fail Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDFlorinChartsThe 2022 bear‑market fractal 📉 The fractal taken from the 2022 bear market. Back then Bitcoin built a rising wedge pattern and then dropped about 60% in value from the breakdown. What “everyone” expects now 😱 Many traders now expect Bitcoin to repeat that same pattern crash. Social media, bears and even cautious bulls keep pointing to the old wedge and saying “this dump is next.” Why this time can be different 💡 Markets rarely give the majority the easy trade; when everyone leans to one side, that scenario often gets crowded and fails. If most traders are positioned for a huge crash, any sustained bid or positive macro surprise can squeeze them and send price higher instead. My view based on the chart 📊🚀 I consider an alternative path: a choppy but upward trend, driven by forced short covering and new buyers stepping in as the crash fails to appear. Key takeaway ✅ Yes, the 2022 fractal shows what could happen. But because almost everyone already sees and trades that same pattern, the higher probability play now is that Bitcoin does not repeat the exact 60% wipeout and instead grinds higher while late bears get trapped.