ES - December 9th - Daily Trade PlanE-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME_MINI:ES1!jhill1618December 9th- Daily Trade Plan - 6:40am *Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you have been reading my daily trade plan posts this year you know that I am a long ES trader only. I do not Short ES. I find levels that Institutions are buying at, and I ride along with them. You also know if you have been trading ES for any length of time is that ES when it sells off goes elevator down. When you see 15 min red candles like yesterday and when price is not flushing and reclaiming our key levels, it is better to wait for the highest quality levels, which are previous day's lows. You know that on my chart I color code them a certain way. Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week) Blue = A previous day low (Day before or day in the past week) Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post) White = Key Support/Resistance Levels How do Institutions accumulate? They hunt for liquidity. How? They run stops. How do we know where those stops are? They are typically near or below key lows. You can see these key lows via a 15 min candle based on the wick. I have decided to change my daily post to focus on the core levels and not all support/resistance levels. When ES is selling off and we do not get a flush and reclaim that produces a follow through on the first 2 core levels, it is better to wait for a purple or blue level to enter. Yesterday I wrote that 6857 was my highest quality level and any loss and no quick reclaim would change the structure of the trend. We pretty much flushed down to below 6857 and could never put in a reclaim that held the level by 5pts. Meaning, we did not reclaim 6857 and hold above it around 6857-6862. Example - At 10:26am - We bounced at 6858, tried to recover but could not make a higher high and fizzled out at 6869 then continued lower. You also want price to attempt to sell off back at the core level and see it hold. When price came back down it tried to hold it and bounced at 10:45am to 6862. It needed to clear 6867 to create a higher high. Every dip that bounced yesterday did not make a higher high until later in the day. I did not have 6841 called out on my plan, because I was not anticipating price to lose 6857 if it was going to keep moving higher. I did post at 11am that I would only trade the reclaim of 6857 or 6836 (both previous day's lows in the past week). While 6841 did produce a nice bounce, ultimately it never reclaimed 6857 and held. It rallied quickly into 6853 and then sold off. If price is coming up from a support into a resistance. I would only enter on the reclaim and back test of that level that holds for 5mins or so to show that it wants to keep going higher. Why did I take a position at 6836 level? Price dipped below to 6835, bounced and then came back down and retested 6836 and continued higher. This was a great R/R trade, but did I know if this was going to be the low for the day? No. I did know that price had been trying to find a low for a while yesterday and eventually sellers ran out of steam, and we started making higher highs, higher lows on the 1 min chart and that gave me confidence that price could continue higher. 6848 was a clear resistance above and that is where I sold 3/4 of my position (next level up). I hope this helps anyone that is trying to understand my system. Overnight high is 6868 and is a clear resistance and also the resistance of Friday's intraday lows. The overnight low is 6854 with a quick flush and reclaim that we got while I have been typing this post. As of right now, it has not produced any follow through. Key Levels Today 1. 6854 flush and reclaim (Lower quality) 2. 6836 flush and reclaim (Highest quality) You can try a back test of 6868, IF price can clear it and hold above. I would give it time to show that it wants to hold that level. Below 6836 and the only core levels I would look for a flush and reclaim would be 6818, 6801, 6792. Below these levels and price will most likely be selling off and I would be getting out the way and let price find a level below to reclaim and move higher. I will post an update around 10am EST ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows a current or prior weekly low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. White shows key support/resistance levels