Why I’m Anticipating Sells on EURUSDEuro vs US DollarICMARKETS:EURUSDfxbeckzLet me walk you through why I’m positioning myself for downside on EURUSD. After more than 15 years in the markets, these structural signatures and liquidity behaviors are exactly what tell me a bearish cycle is developing. 1️⃣ The Bullish Cycle Has Completed The left side of the chart shows a fully completed bullish phase: Accumulation Trendline liquidity engineered and taken Impulsive displacement upward Mitigation of a higher-timeframe supply zone Once price completes this kind of full bullish delivery, it typically transitions into a distribution phase. That’s exactly what we’re seeing here. 2️⃣ Break of Structure After Higher-Timeframe Mitigation The shift in orderflow became clear immediately after price tapped into the HTF supply. We’ve already seen: A clean break of structure A violation of the prior ascending trendline Loss of bullish momentum Transition into corrective bullish pullbacks instead of impulsive continuation These are not retail patterns — they’re institutional footprints signaling that the buy-side phase is over. 3️⃣ Liquidity Has Already Been Taken Above the Highs The push into the recent highs captured: Equal highs liquidity Trendline liquidity Buy stops above the previous swing As soon as that liquidity was taken, price delivered a strong rejection out of supply. That’s textbook distribution. 4️⃣ Internal Structure Now Confirming Distribution Current price action is showing: A rising wedge breakdown Successive lower highs Displacement candles to the downside Reactions from inefficiencies and mitigation blocks This is the exact structure institutions use to unwind long exposure and build shorts. 5️⃣ Liquidity Is Stacked to the Downside Every major liquidity pool is sitting below price: Sell-side equal lows Untapped swing lows Large inefficiency pockets A clean pathway into deeper demand When liquidity is positioned like this, price gravitates toward it. 6️⃣ HTF Rejection Confirms Bearish Bias The strong rejection wick from the upper zone is the final piece of confirmation. That wick represents institutional selling, not retail profit taking. After studying behavior like this for over a decade, I know when HTF rejection combines with a structural break — the bullish phase is finished. **7️⃣ 📌 Waiting for a Break & Retest of the Trendline for Extra Confluence Although I’m already anticipating sells, I am watching for one more piece of confirmation: 👉 A clean break and retest of the current trendline structure. This would give me: Added confluence Confirmation that sellers are in full control An optimal entry point for continuation sells A high-probability lower high formation This is something I’ve relied on throughout my trading career: trendline breaks WITHOUT retests can be premature — but breaks WITH retests are institutional grade confirmation. So if price pulls back into that trendline after breaking it, respects it, and prints displacement, I’ll have all the confirmation I need for aggressive downside continuation. 8️⃣ Summary — Why I’m Bearish I’m anticipating sells because: The bullish cycle is completed HTF supply was mitigated and rejected Structure broke bearish Liquidity was swept above the highs Distribution is forming Liquidity is resting below Orderflow is shifting bearish A break & retest of the trendline will add final confirmation This is the same institutional price delivery model I’ve traded consistently over the last 15 years — and when all these factors align, the probability is heavily weighted to the downside.