BTC — Is This the End of Bitcoin’s Bull Market?Bitcoin / TetherUSBINANCE:BTCUSDTSiDecFirst of all, I’ve been quite busy the past few weeks working on some exciting projects and developing new indicators that’s why I haven’t posted much here lately. But now I’m back with a fresh Bitcoin analysis, and there’s a lot to unpack. Macro Context BTC’s recent structure has played out exactly like a classic Wyckoff Distribution schematic. Back in mid-July (14th July 2025), we printed a Buying Climax (BC), followed by an Upthrust (UT) → SFP / liquidity grab. Later, price formed a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) → the final failed breakout, confirming buyer exhaustion and triggering the sharp sell-off event that followed. After that sell-off, BTC retested the monthly resistance level at $115,764 twice: The first attempt resulted in a clean rejection. The second led to SFP of the high, confirming a bull trap and setting the tone for further downside. The monthly resistance turned out to be the most ideal short entry, offering a near-perfect risk-to-reward setup after the clear rejection. The charts really tell the whole story, BTC has followed the technical structure perfectly. Current Structure & Key Levels Today, we tapped the $100K psychological level, aligning with the $2 trillion market cap, that produced an initial bounce. The question now: is this the start of a meaningful bounce, or just a relief rally before further downside? Looking at the wave structure, we are most likely in a Wave 3 (iii) → meaning more downside pressure remains probable. BTCUSD (INDEX): Key Low: $98,200 — Sell-Side Liquidity 0.618 Fib retracement: ~$94,254 — ideal long entry zone Trend-based Fib Extension (1.0): ~$93,728 Yearly Open: $93,576 The Volume Profile shows a high-volume node between $98K–$94K, with the POC at $96.4K, perfectly aligning with the support trendline and key low. This gives us a high-probability long zone between $98.2K and $93.5K, an area where multiple technical factors align: Key low liquidity Fib confluence (0.618 FR & 1.0 TBFE) Yearly open Volume cluster (POC) Rising trendline support Pattern Confluence After the rejection at the monthly resistance ($115,764), a clear Head & Shoulders pattern also formed → another strong bearish confluence. The neckline was broken cleanly, confirming the expectation for further downside, which is now playing out. Psychological & Technical Zones At the moment, $100K remains a psychological key support and the market is reacting accordingly. Now it’s time to pay close attention as we approach critical levels, especially the long opportunity zone (98.2K–93.5K). Ideal trade plan: Long Entry Zone: $98.2K → $93.5K Take Profit 1: $100K Take Profit 2: $104K Stop Loss: below the Yearly Open ($93.5K) Summary Structure: Wyckoff Distribution → Markdown Phase Pattern: Head & Shoulders confirmed Bias: Bearish, but approaching high-value long zone Watch for: SFP of $98.2K → potential reversal trigger Main invalidation: Below Yearly Open ($93.5K) BTC continues to respect the technicals beautifully. Stay patient! The next high-probability long setup is forming right in front of us. 🔍 Indicators used DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored) ➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!