EUR/USD – H4 Wedge Pattern | Dollar Weakness & Fed Cut Bets

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EUR/USD – H4 Wedge Pattern | Dollar Weakness & Fed Cut BetsEURO VS US DOLLARTRADENATION:EURUSDKABHI_TA_TRADING🧠 Setup Overview: EUR/USD is forming a falling wedge pattern on the H4 chart — a potential bullish reversal structure after weeks of downside pressure. The pair is testing the upper wedge trendline, suggesting a possible breakout, but confirmation is still pending. EURUSD 📊 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Scenario: 🟢Watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge and cloud resistance zone. 🟢If confirmed, expect a move toward 1.1730 (1st Resistance) and 1.1800 (2nd Resistance). ⚙️ Technical Levels: 🟢 1st Resistance: 1.1732 🟢 2nd Resistance: 1.1804 🔴 Support Zone: 1.1500 – 1.1470 🧩 Fundamental Updates (Today – 9 Nov 2025): 1️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields slipped slightly as surveys showed weaker consumer confidence, softening the dollar’s tone. 2️⃣ Fed rate cut expectations increased — markets now price a 66% chance of a 25 bps cut in December, according to CME FedWatch. 3️⃣ Government funding worries: renewed concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown weighed on sentiment and limited USD demand. 🔴These factors combined create short-term bearish pressure on USD, which may fuel a EUR/USD rebound if momentum sustains above the wedge.🔴 #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FallingWedge #FundamentalAnalysis #FedWatch #USD #EUR #ForexSignals #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #SwingTrading #ForexEducation #FXMarket #TradingView ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk carefully before entering trades. 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If you like this analysis — drop a LIKE 👍, leave a COMMENT 💭, and FOLLOW 🔔 to stay updated with more Forex setups, price action insights, and live market fundamentals!