XRP tradesat $2.43 today (Wednesday), November 12, 2025, posting a modest +1.89% intradaygain but remains under pressure following Tuesday's sharp -5% correction. Technicalanalysis reveals a critical bearish setup that could send the cryptocurrencytumbling as much as 50% to yearly lows at $1.25, marking one of the mostdangerous formations for XRP holders this year.Let’s check together how low can XRP price go and what the newest XRP price predictions are for 2025 and beyond.How Low Can XRP Go? DeathCross Formation Triggers Sell SignalThe 50-dayexponential moving average (50 EMA) has crossed below the 200-day EMA,creating what technical analysts call a "death cross,” one of the mostpotent bearish signals in trading. Thisformation last appeared in November 2024 (in bullish version), sparking aspectacular 400% rally over four months. The current setup, however, points tosignificant downside risk as XRP struggles within a narrow consolidation rangebetween $2.58-$2.70 resistance and $2.30-$2.20 support.Accordingto my own technical analysis, the moving average cluster strengthens theoverhead resistance zone, while Tuesday's -5% plunge came after XRP contactedthe descending trendline drawn from July peaks. Dailyperformance shows -1.3% decline despite Wednesday's intraday recovery, with thecryptocurrency down from $2.528 on November 11 and $2.366 on November 10.XRP Price Prediction: TechnicalAnalysis Points to $1.25 TargetIf thecurrent $2.30-$2.20 support zone fails to hold, it will confirm activation ofthe death cross sell signal with potential for a 50% correction to $1.25, representingXRP's yearly minimum. This projection aligns with Fibonacci 100% extension measuredfrom July highs to October lows and the brief upward correction that followed.As I showon the chart below, along the descent, XRP faces multiple support levelsincluding the psychological $2.00 round number, June lows at $1.90, and Aprilbottoms at $1.61.Retail Market RemainsResilient Despite SelloffDespitedramatic price swings, retail investors haven't abandoned XRP, according toGreg Waisman, Chief Operating Officer at Mercuryo, a leading paymentinfrastructure platform. "Theretail market has not lost faith in cryptocurrency despite the dramaticsell-offs that we've witnessed," Waisman noted, adding that Mercuryo datashows buying patterns remain steady and resolute, with XRP and USDCoutperforming.Recentwhale activity shows noticeable shifts in November 2025, with large holderspotentially distributing tokens to new investors. This transfer could increaseshort-term selling pressure and push prices lower, though fresh capital fromoptimistic retail buyers might catalyze XRP's next upward move, especially amidspeculation around a potential XRP ETF and Ripple's ongoing partnershipannouncements.Key XRP Support andResistance Levels to MonitorTechnicaltraders should watch several critical price zones that will determine whetherXRP confirms the death cross bearish scenario or stages a reversal:Resistancelevels: $2.55-$2.63(immediate overhead), $2.80 (major supply zone with 2.58 billion XRP traded),$3.00 (psychological barrier if momentum shifts bullish)Supportlevels: $2.30-$2.20(current consolidation floor), $2.10 (URPD support with 1.64 billion XRP),$2.00 (round number psychological support), $1.90 (June 2025 lows), $1.61(April 2025 lows), $1.25 (ultimate 50% correction target and yearly minimum)A dailyclose above the $2.55-$2.63 resistance could invalidate the immediate bearishsetup and open the door toward $2.80 or even $3.00 if trading volumestrengthens. However, breakdown below the $2.20 support would confirm deathcross activation and put the $1.25 target firmly in play.Market Outlook and PricePredictionsXRPyear-over-year performance remains exceptionally strong at +285.9% from$0.6194 one year ago, demonstrating the cryptocurrency's volatile yet rewardingnature for long-term holders. However, near-term forecasts show mixed sentimentwith November 2025 predictions ranging from $2.38 minimum to $2.75 maximumaccording to Changelly analysis.StandardChartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick projects XRP could increase at 73% annuallyover the next three years, while some optimistic analysts cite targets between$10-$37 for the current cycle. Changelly's extended forecast suggests XRPreaching $2.43 by end of 2025, with 2026 average price around $1.49.Thecryptocurrency rebounded 76% earlier this month after dropping to $1.37, butcurrent rejection and failure to establish higher highs suggests the market islosing bullish conviction. November may prove pivotal for XRP direction, withpatience and disciplined observation around key support levels potentiallyrewarding those anticipating the next major move.XRP Price Analysis, FAQWhat will 1 XRP be worthin 2025?XRPcurrently trades at $2.43 on November 12, 2025, with analyst predictionsvarying significantly. Changelly forecasts XRP ending 2025 at $2.43, whileKraken's prediction model suggests $2.43 by year-end. However, bearishtechnical scenarios point to potential decline toward $1.25 if death cross sellsignal activates, while optimistic forecasts cite targets between $2.80-$3.00if resistance breaks.What's the lowest XRP willgo?Based ontechnical analysis, XRP's ultimate downside target sits at $1.25, representing50% correction from current levels and coinciding with yearly lows. Thisprojection derives from Fibonacci 100% extension measured from July peaks toOctober troughs, with intermediate support levels at $2.00, $1.90 (June lows),and $1.61 (April lows) potentially providing temporary floors. The $2.30-$2.20zone represents critical near-term support that must hold to prevent furtherdeterioration.Can XRP crash to zero?XRPcrashing to zero remains extremely unlikely given its established marketposition, robust trading volumes, ongoing Ripple partnerships, and resilientretail demand. Despite bearish technical signals, XRP maintains year-over-yeargains of +285.9% and continues showing strong fundamentals with paymentinfrastructure platforms reporting steady buying patterns. , neither of whichappears imminent.Will XRP drop under $2?Yes, XRPbreaking below $2.00 is a realistic possibility if the current $2.30-$2.20support zone fails to hold. Technical analysis shows death cross formation with50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA, creating strong bearish pressure that coulddrive prices through the psychological $2.00 level toward $1.90 (June lows) andpotentially $1.61 (April lows). This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.