USDJPY Real Price LevelsUS Dollar vs Japanese YenPEPPERSTONE:USDJPYsunya🎯 USDJPY TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE: WEEKLY FORECAST NOV 10-14, 2025 Close Price: 153.419 (8th Nov 2025, 12:54 UTC+4) | Analysis Period: Intraday Swing Trading Framework 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS OVERVIEW This comprehensive analysis covers 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H & 1D timeframes using advanced Elliott Wave Theory, Japanese Candlestick patterns, Dow Theory, Wyckoff accumulation/distribution phases, harmonic ratios, and Gann principles. USDJPY exhibits critical support/resistance levels with significant breakout potential for the week ahead. 🔴 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS & SUPPORT/RESISTANCE ZONES Major Resistance: 155.200, 154.800, 154.120 | Minor Resistance: 153.950, 153.700 Major Support: 152.500, 151.800, 150.950 | Minor Support: 153.100, 152.950 Pivot Point: 153.419 (Current equilibrium) | Critical confluence zone for breakout confirmation ⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE & IMPULSE IDENTIFICATION Current analysis suggests USDJPY is completing Wave 4 consolidation within a larger 5-wave impulse cycle. The formation of lower highs and higher lows creates a classic triangle pattern signaling Wave 5 breakout potential. Confirmation threshold: Break above 154.120 (5M-15M) = Wave 5 initiation with targets 155.850. 💹 CANDLESTICK PATTERN FORMATIONS (Multi-Timeframe) 4H Timeframe: Engulfing bearish pattern → Bullish Hammer forming at support | Rising Wedge rejection signals correction bounce 1H Timeframe: Bullish Flag within ascending channel | VWAP acting as dynamic support | RSI oversold bounce confirmed 30M Timeframe: Inverted Cup & Handle pattern (bullish reversal) | Breakout target 154.500 with volume confirmation 15M Timeframe: Bearish Pennant consolidation + Double Bottom forming | Reversal hammer at 152.950 support 5M Timeframe: Rapid oscillation between 153.200-153.600 | High-probability entry zones after RSI oversold/overbought extremes 🎲 DOW THEORY: TREND CONFIRMATION FRAMEWORK Primary Trend: Uptrend intact - Higher highs/higher lows maintained on 4H-1D. Secondary Trend: Consolidation phase within established uptrend. Tertiary Trend (Intraday): Mixed ranging behavior with increased volatility zones Dow principles confirm trend strength remains bullish while respecting key support. Volume analysis shows institutional accumulation near 153.000-153.200 levels (Wyckoff accumulation phase). 📈 WYCKOFF METHOD: ACCUMULATION/DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS Accumulation Phase: Spring pattern near 152.500 broke support temporarily, indicating institutional absorption Mark-Up Phase: 4H-1D showing absorption of selling pressure with higher closes (bullish distribution) Distribution Signals: Watch for climax volume near resistance 155.200 (potential reversal trigger) Volume Profile: VWAP resistance 154.800 + Bollinger Band upper band 155.100 = Critical confluence rejection zone 🌊 HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI RATIOS USDJPY exhibits Gartley Pattern (0.618 retracement) structure: D-point completion at 153.419 creates potential reversal entry. Fibonacci extensions suggest: 161.8% = 156.200 (Wave 5 target), 127.2% = 155.450 (conservative target). Harmonic Ratio Confluence: Inverse Head & Shoulders formation at 1D level with neckline 153.950 breakout = 261.8% extension targeting 156.500. 📐 GANN THEORY: PRICE-TIME ANGLES & GEOMETRIC ANGLES Gann 45° angle (1:1 angle) intersects near 154.300 on 4H timeframe, creating strong support/resistance confluence. Gann Square angles: 25%, 45%, 75% angles all converge near resistance cluster 154.500-155.000 (timing window Nov 12-13). 🔧 TECHNICAL INDICATORS SYNTHESIS RSI (14 Period): - 1H: 35-40 zone (oversold bounce setup) → Entry signal above 45 - 4H: 48-52 zone (neutral) → Divergence warning if resistance rejected - 1D: 55-60 zone (bullish bias maintained) → Avoid shorting from these levels Bollinger Bands (20,2): - 4H: Price consolidating near middle band (153.500) | Upper band 155.100 = resistance - 1H: Compression phase ending (volatility breakout imminent) | Band width narrowing 60-70 pips - Entry Strategy: Long breakout above upper band with confirmation (Volume + RSI) VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): - Daily VWAP: 153.850 (dynamic support) | Institutional buying zone - 4H VWAP: 153.620 (intraday equilibrium) | Mean reversion trades from this level - Best trade setup: Long entries on VWAP bounce + oversold RSI + Bullish candlestick Moving Averages (EMA/SMA): - EMA 50 (4H): 153.200 ✅ Acting as support | Below = trend change warning - EMA 200 (1D): 152.100 | Strong support floor (only break = major sell signal) - SMA 20 (1H): 153.450 | Intraday resistance/support oscillator - Golden Cross Status: EMA 50 > EMA 200 confirmed bullish alignment on 1D Ichimoku Cloud (9,26,52): - Cloud Top: 154.200 | Cloud Bottom: 152.800 (current price above cloud = bullish) - Tenkan (Red Line 9): 153.600 | Kijun (Blue Line 26): 153.800 | Bullish alignment - Chikou Span: Above price (bullish signal) | Lagging indicator confirms uptrend - Cloud breakout target: Above 154.200 confirms sustained strength to 155.500 ⏰ INTRADAY SWING TRADE SETUP (5M-30M Timeframes) ENTRY SIGNALS (Next Week): PRIMARY LONG ENTRY: Break 153.950 with close above 154.100 (RSI >45, Volume >Avg) | Target 154.600 (1:1.5 R/R) AGGRESSIVE ENTRY: VWAP bounce from 153.620 (5M hammer) + Bollinger Band middle band + RSI oversold | Stop 153.450 CONTRARIAN SHORT: Rejection above 155.100 BB upper band (after overbought spike) | Target 154.200 support SCALP ENTRY: 5M Bollinger Band squeeze breakout (width 70): Expect pullback from 155.100-155.200 resistance zones OVERSOLD RSI (100 pips on 1H 📋 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (NOV 10-14, 2025) Week Outlook:Bullish bias maintained with correction bounces creating optimal entry zones. Most probable scenario: Consolidation break above 154.120 → Wave 5 impulse toward 155.850 by end of week. Monday-Tuesday: Watch VWAP bounces + RSI oversold condition recovery | Entry zone 153.200-153.600 Wednesday-Thursday: Breakout attempt resistance 154.100-154.500 | Major breakout window with elevated volatility Friday: Trending day likely with follow-through buying | Potential final leg to 155.500-155.850 target ⚙️ RISK MANAGEMENT ESSENTIALS Position Size: Max 2% risk per trade | Stop Loss: 25-30 pips | Profit Target: 75-150 pips (3:1 - 5:1 R/R minimum). Never risk more than account 2% on single setup. Use trailing stops once +50 pips profit locked in. 🏆 CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS FOR THIS WEEK ✅ Confirmation of Ichimoku Cloud breakout above 154.200 ✅ Daily close above 154.100 with volume confirmation ✅ RSI divergence bounce from oversold zones (5M-1H timeframes) ✅ VWAP acting as institutional support (accumulation ongoing) ✅ Harmonic pattern completion at D-point (current price 153.419) ❌ INVALIDATION SIGNALS (STAY OUT OR REVERSE): ❌ Break below EMA 50 (153.200) on 4H daily close ❌ Close below 152.950 support (major bearish signal) ❌ RSI breakdown below 30 + Volume spike = Trend reversal initiated ❌ Bollinger Band inversion (compression to expansion to compression = exhaustion) 📲 HASHTAGS FOR COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT #USDJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Intraday #ElliottWave #FibonacciRatio #DayTradingStrategy #JapaneseYen #BreakoutTrade #RSI #BollingerBands #VolumeProfile #GannTheory #WyckoffMethod #HarmonicPatterns #TradingView #ForexSignals #Forex #FXTrading #CurrencyTrading #TradeSetup #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TA #TechnicalIndicators #CryptoTrading #MoneyManagement #RiskManagement #EditorsPicks #TradingCommunity #WeeklyForecast 📌 DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes and technical study only. Not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence. Past performance ≠ future results. Use proper risk management and position sizing. Trade at your own risk. ✨ ANALYSIS GENERATED: November 8, 2025 | FORECAST PERIOD: Nov 10-14, 2025 | ASSET: USDJPY (Spot Forex)