AUDUSD - 4H - Weekly Analysis - (17 Nov – 21 Nov 2025)

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AUDUSD - 4H - Weekly Analysis - (17 Nov – 21 Nov 2025)Australian Dollar/US DollarFX:AUDUSDonelinkFXπŸ”Ž Market Structure Overview AUDUSD is currently in a sideways consolidation, showing: Lower-timeframe indecision No strong bullish or bearish dominance Repeated rejections between 0.6560 and 0.6500 Momentum from the 4H chart shows: Last swing down followed by a weak recovery Stochastic in mid-zone β†’ no momentum direction yet This indicates a range-bound week unless a breakout occurs. πŸ“Œ Key Levels for the Week πŸ”Ό Resistance Zones (Sell Areas) Zone / Price / Expectation R1 /0.6580 – 0.6600 / Strong supply area – ideal SELL zone if price spikes into it R2 / 0.6560 – 0.6570 / Immediate rejection zone – intraday scalping sell πŸ”½ Support Zones (Buy Areas) Zone / Price / Expectation S1 /0.6500 – 0.6510 / Strong support – BUY zone for rebound S2 /0.6470 – 0.6485 / Major support – deeper retracement BUY πŸ“Š Expected Movement (Weekly Bias) Base Case (60% probability) – RANGE WEEK Price stays between 0.6560 and 0.6500, bouncing up and down. ➑️ Sell the highs, buy the lows Bullish Case (25% probability) Only if price breaks above 0.6600 and holds: ➑️ Upside targets: 0.6640 - 0.6675 Bearish Case (15% probability) If price breaks below 0.6480: ➑️ Downside targets: 0.6450 - 0.6415 🧭 Trading Plan for the Week 1️⃣ SELL Setup Sell Zone 1: 0.6560 – 0.6570 Sell Zone 2: 0.6580 – 0.6600 (high probability reversal) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.6535 TP2: 0.6510 πŸ›‘ SL above: 0.6620 2️⃣ BUY Setup Buy Zone 1: 0.6500 – 0.6510 Buy Zone 2: 0.6470 – 0.6485 (best risk–reward) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.6530 TP2: 0.6560 πŸ›‘ SL below: 0.6450 ⚠️ What to Watch This Week USD data (CPI/retail sales) β†’ can push AUDUSD sharply RBA tone (if any speech or minutes) Commodities β†’ AUD reacts strongly to market risk sentiment πŸ“Œ Summary (Easy View) πŸ”· Bias: Range‐bound πŸ”· Sell: 0.6560 β†’ 0.6600 πŸ”· Buy: 0.6500 β†’ 0.6480 πŸ”· Breakout Buy: Above 0.6600 πŸ”· Breakdown Sell: Below 0.6480