USDCAD - 4H - Weekly Analysis - (17–21 Nov 2025)US Dollar/Canadian DollarFX:USDCADonelinkFXMarket Condition Summary Trend Bias: Sideways → Bearish Price Structure: Lower highs forming; rejection from 1.4045–1.4060 resistance Stochastic: Turning down from overbought (bearish momentum forming) Volatility: Increasing but still inside a price box USDCAD is currently stuck between: 🔹 Resistance: 1.4045 – 1.4060 (Strong rejection zone — price failed 3x) 🔹 Support: 1.3985 – 1.3990 1.3925 – 1.3910 (Major Target if breakout happens) Given the bearish rejection candle pattern + Stochastic turning down + lower high formation → SELL setups are stronger for next week. 🎯 PRIMARY TRADE SETUP (SELL) 📌 Sell Entry Zones: 1️⃣ Entry #1 (Aggressive Sell): 1.4025 – 1.4040 → Where price is currently rejecting. 2️⃣ Entry #2 (Best Entry – Liquidity Grab): 1.4060 – 1.4075 → If price spikes up during Monday/Tuesday before the drop. 🛑 Stop Loss Placement SL: 1.4105 Above: ✔ previous wick highs ✔ liquidity pool ✔ structural invalidation level 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1 – Nearest Support: 1.3985 TP2 – Main Support: 1.3925 TP3 – Extended Target (if strong bearish momentum): 1.3890 📊 TRADE PLAN If market opens flat or slowly climbs: ✅ Wait for a push into 1.4040–1.4060 → Then SELL after bearish candle confirmation (pin bar / engulfing) If market drops immediately: ❌ Do NOT chase → Wait for price to retrace back into the supply zone 1.4025–1.4040 → Then enter sell 🔥 ALTERNATE BUY SCENARIO (only if bearish level breaks) Only BUY if price closes above 1.4105 on 4H. Buy above breakout: Entry: 1.4110 SL: 1.4060 TP: 1.4175 / 1.4200 ➡️ This is LOW probability next week.