USDCHF – 4H - Weekly Analysis - (17–21 Nov 2025)US Dollar/Swiss FrancFX:USDCHFonelinkFXBias: BEARISH / SELL RALLIES The market continues its clear downtrend, making new lower highs and lower lows. The recent bounce is corrective, not reversal. Both 4H and 1H Stochastic are in overbought territory, indicating SELL setups forming. 🔍 4H Key Observations Structure Strong downtrend from 0.8120 🔻 New low at 0.7880 Current price around 0.7929, testing resistance Last swing structure: lower high → lower low → retracement → sell continuation likely Key Levels Type / Price Major Resistance (Sell Region #1) /0.7975 – 0.8000 Secondary Resistance (Sell Region #2) /0.8030 – 0.8050 Support Target #1 /0.7870 Support Target #2 /0.7820 Extended Target /0.7760 Indicators Stochastic Overbought (4H) → Perfect for a SELL Momentum weakening as candles reject upside No bullish reversal structure yet 🔍 1H Confirmation 1H also overbought Price losing steam under 0.7940–0.7950 Small bearish rejection candles at intraday resistance This confirms SELL setups forming. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🔻 PRIMARY TRADE (HIGH PROBABILITY) SELL Zone #1: 0.7945 – 0.7975 🔽 Sell Entry: 0.7950 🎯 Targets: TP1 → 0.7890 TP2 → 0.7840 TP3 → 0.7760 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 (Above resistance & liquidity sweep area) 🔻 ALTERNATIVE TRADE (If price spikes up first) SELL Zone #2 (Liquidity Grab): 0.8030 – 0.8050 🔽 Sell Entry: 0.8040 🛡️ SL: 0.8090 🎯 Targets: Same as above TP1 → 0.7890 TP2 → 0.7840 TP3 → 0.7760 🟢 Bullish Trade? (LOW probability) Only consider buys IF price drops to strong support and shows reversal candles. Possible Buy Bounce Zone: 0.7820 – 0.7870 But trend is bearish → better to stick to sells. 📌 Summary for 17–21 Nov Bias /Action Trend /Down Preferred Trades /SELL rallies Best Sell Entries / 0.7950 & 0.8040 SL Range /0.8010–0.8090 Targets / 0.7890 → 0.7840 → 0.7760 📉 What to Expect This Week Early week → possible push up toward 0.7950–0.7970 Midweek → drop towards 0.7890 Late week → continuation to 0.7840 if USD weakens further