NVDA Pullback or Trend Break? (Nov 10–14)

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NVDA Pullback or Trend Break? (Nov 10–14)NVIDIA CorporationBATS:NVDABullBearInsightsFull Multi-Timeframe Outlook NVDA just had one of its sharpest weekly pullbacks in months, and this week is all about figuring out whether this drop is simply a reset inside the bigger bullish trend or the start of a deeper correction. I’ll walk through each timeframe so traders can understand the structure clearly. 1. Weekly Timeframe (1W) Macro Structure NVDA finally tapped the top of the long-term rising wedge and rejected aggressively. Even with the deep weekly red candle, the bigger structure hasn’t broken yet — NVDA is still sitting above the main weekly trendline that carried the entire 2023–2025 bull run. Weekly demand starts around 153–160. Price hasn’t reached that level yet, but the rejection candle shows sellers finally stepping in with size. Weekly MACD is rolling over for the first time since mid-summer. Stoch RSI is turning down from overbought. Both suggest momentum is cooling on the larger timeframe. Weekly Trade View
Watch how NVDA reacts around the trendline near 184–188. As long as NVDA stays above 153–160, the larger trend remains bullish, but a break below 184 adds pressure. Weekly GEX Perspective
Below 180, negative GEX expands heavily, which tends to increase volatility on the downside.
Above 200, positive GEX slows the upside.
This places NVDA in the middle of a high-energy zone — whichever way it breaks next will likely extend for days. 2. Daily Timeframe (1D) Daily Trend and Structure The daily chart is where the weakness is more visible. We already printed a downside CHoCH, confirming a short-term trend shift. NVDA has also broken its rising channel from September, which means sellers took control temporarily. Key daily support sits at 176–184. That’s a demand cluster plus the midpoint of the previous impulse. The daily candle you posted shows NVDA sitting right on this zone. Daily MACD crossed bearish and continues to widen. Stoch RSI is oversold but hasn’t curled yet — usually a sign that a bounce needs more time to develop. Daily Trade View
Hold 184 → NVDA can bounce back toward 195 then 202.
Break 176 → opens a deeper retracement toward 164 and even 153. Daily GEX View
There is a major put wall around 178–180.
This level often acts like a gravitational pull, especially in pullbacks.
The next put concentration is near 164.
Unless NVDA reclaims 190–195 quickly, the daily structure still favors a retest of these lower zones. 3. 1-Hour Timeframe (1H) Short-Term Structure You can see NVDA has been sliding down the descending intraday channel for days. The most recent BOS is bearish, but the latest CHoCH shows buyers finally trying to step in around 178. Price is now approaching the 190 resistance — this is the intraday pivot for the week. 1H MACD is curling upward, showing the first momentum shift since early November. Stoch RSI is rising fast, confirming short-term buyers entering. 1H Trade View
Above 190 → opens room toward 195 then 202.
Reject 190 → NVDA likely rolls back toward 184 then 178. The 190 break is the whole game for intraday momentum. 4. 15-Minute Timeframe (15M) Intraday View The 15M shows the cleanest structure:
A strong BOS just formed, and NVDA broke the intraday trendline. This is the first real bullish sign since the selloff started. However, the CHoCH that printed after the BOS is sitting right underneath the 188–190 ceiling. That means the sellers still sit overhead waiting. MACD on 15M is trending strongly upward — momentum is on the bulls’ side right now. 15M Trade View
Break and hold above 188–190 → intraday long toward 195.
Reject 188–190 → expect a fade back toward 184. This level aligns across all lower timeframes, which makes it extremely important for Monday and Tuesday. 5. GEX Map & Options Strategy GEX Interpretation for NVDA (This Week) The GEX chart shows:
Positive GEX at 195–205
Negative GEX at 178–180
A major put wall at 178.91
A major call wall at 202–205 What this means:
Under 180 → volatility expands downward as dealers hedge.
Over 195 → upside will feel slower and grindy, not explosive.
202–205 → heavy call wall likely to act as a ceiling unless NVDA has strong momentum. Options Strategy If NVDA rejects 188–190:
Short-dated puts targeting 180 or 178 make sense. If NVDA reclaims 190 and holds:
Short-dated calls targeting 195 or 202 are the better play. Avoid chasing anything above 205 — that’s deep inside positive GEX and tends to stall. My Thought NVDA is in a very interesting spot going into the week. Higher timeframes are still bullish, but the daily and intraday charts clearly show the momentum shift to the downside. Everything comes down to how price reacts between 188 and 190. Rejecting that zone keeps the pullback alive toward 184–178.
Breaking above that zone starts the recovery toward 195–202. This is a week where levels matter more than bias. The reaction at 188–190 will decide which side controls NVDA next. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk. If you want a breakdown on another ticker, just drop it in the comments.