Short-term Bitcoin Corrections are not the endBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDTeerasak_Tanavarakul🌀 Bitcoin and the Wave of Rest: An Elliott Wave Perspective for Late 2025 “Markets don’t fall because of bad news — they fall because buying power runs out.” This line perfectly captures the rhythm of Bitcoin’s current movement. After an extraordinary rally that lifted BTC/USD beyond $120,000, peaking near $125,000, the market began to cool — signaling the exhaustion of Wave (5), the final thrust of a major bullish cycle. Now, Bitcoin enters a corrective phase that most traders dread — but seasoned Elliott Wave analysts recognize as the birthplace of the next great wave. ________________________________________ 🌊 The Big Picture: Five Waves of Expansion Looking back to mid-2024, Bitcoin completed a textbook five-wave impulse structure — a full bullish cycle in Elliott Wave theory. 1.Wave (1) — The first spark, rising from $25,000 to $40,000 2.Wave (2) — A shallow consolidation, fueling momentum 3.Wave (3) — The powerhouse wave, driven by ETF inflows and institutional adoption 4.Wave (4) — A mild correction without breaking prior structure 5.Wave (5) — The final push to $122,000–$125,000, completing the major uptrend After touching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the Wave (3) move, price reversed sharply — confirming the end of the impulsive phase and the beginning of an A–B–C corrective pattern. ________________________________________ 📉 The A–B–C Correction: A Healthy Pause Corrections are the market’s way of catching its breath. Following the parabolic climb, Bitcoin is now tracing out a Zigzag correction (5–3–5), guided by Fibonacci projections: Fibonacci RatioTarget Level (USD)Significance 0.769×$98,900First support zone (Wave c minor) 1.000×$93,600Standard A–B–C completion target 1.618×$79,500Extended correction / deep bottom This decline isn’t a collapse — it’s a realignment of market psychology: greed fading into fear, short-term traders exiting, while long-term capital quietly waits to accumulate near structural supports. ________________________________________ ⚖️ Reversal Levels and Risk Boundaries •Resistance: $114,000–$116,000 (Wave b top zone) •Primary Support: $93,000–$95,000 •Major Support: $79,000–$80,000 (Fibonacci 1.618 & lower channel trendline) •Invalidation: A confirmed close below $78,000 → signals the end of the long-term bullish cycle Conversely, a daily close above $118,000 would invalidate the correction count, marking the emergence of a new impulse wave into 2026. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trading & Investment Strategy 1️⃣ Short-Term Traders: Riding the (c) Wave Down •Sell Zone: $114K–$116K (failed rebound area) •Stop Loss: $118K •Targets: oTP1 → $98,900 oTP2 → $93,600 oTP3 → $79,500 (extended target) •Style: Swing/position trade within the ongoing corrective structure “Trade the fear — not the hope.” ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Long-Term Investors: Accumulating the Next Cycle For strategic investors, this correction is not danger — it’s opportunity. •Accumulation Zone: $93K–$80K •Positioning: ⅓ allocation per entry level •Stop (optional): Below $78K •Next Bull Targets: oMedium-term → $135K oLong-term → $160K–$180K (Wave 3 of the next major cycle) This is where strong hands replace weak hands — the essence of market evolution through wave theory. ________________________________________ 🧠 Psychology Behind the Waves Each wave reflects collective emotion: •Wave (3) was optimism turned into euphoria. •Wave (5) was greed masked as confidence. •Wave (A) is the shock of realization. •Wave (C) — the cleansing wave — restores balance and opportunity. By understanding these emotional cycles, investors don’t just read charts — they read human behavior. ________________________________________ 💬 Insight “Bitcoin isn’t dying; it’s breathing.” After completing Wave (5) near $125K, BTC is undergoing a natural A–B–C correction — likely finding support between $93K–$80K before launching the next major impulse. For traders, this is the season to sell rallies. For investors, this is the season to accumulate value. The storm will pass — and when it does, Wave 1 of 2026 may rewrite history. ________________________________________ 🪙 Quick Recap AspectDetails Market PhasePost-Wave (5) Correction (A–B–C) Key Supports$98.9K / $93.6K / $79.5K Resistance$114K–$116K Long-term OutlookNew bullish cycle in 2026–2027 Core StrategySell short-term rallies, accumulate near deep support ________________________________________ 🧭 Final Thought Corrections are not the end — they are the reset button for the next bull market. Every decline inside an Elliott Wave is an invitation to observe, prepare, and position. Bitcoin is not losing momentum — it’s recharging.