$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Nov 13, 2025SPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustBATS:SPYTrendTao🔮 SPY SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Nov 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚨 Inflation spotlight (⚠️ delay risk): October CPI and Jobless Claims — both subject to government shutdown delay — were originally scheduled for release this morning. Markets may stay cautious or reactive to leaks and private inflation trackers in the absence of official prints. 💬 Fed rotation continues: A packed Fed lineup — Mary Daly, John Williams, Kashkari, Hammack, and Bostic — will steer tone across the day, shaping expectations for December guidance. 📉 Budget check: A fresh federal deficit report (-$215B) adds to the fiscal backdrop narrative, though reaction may stay muted if major data doesn’t hit. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) ⏰ 8:00 AM — Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed) speech ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Consumer Price Index (Oct) | +0.3% MoM | +3.1% YoY (subject to delay) ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Core CPI (Oct) | +0.3% MoM | +3.1% YoY (subject to delay) ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 8) | 225,000 forecast (subject to delay) ⏰ 9:20 AM — John Williams (NY Fed) welcoming remarks ⏰ 10:25 AM — Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed) opening remarks ⏰ 12:15 PM — Alberto Musalem (St. Louis Fed) speech ⏰ 12:20 PM — Beth Hammack (Cleveland Fed) speech ⏰ 2:00 PM — Monthly U.S. Federal Budget (Oct) | -$215B deficit vs -$257.5B prior ⏰ 3:20 PM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed) speech ⚠️ Note: CPI and Jobless Claims carry the highest market impact this week — but both remain at risk of delay due to the ongoing federal data blackout. Fed speakers and any CPI proxies (like Cleveland Fed’s nowcast) will drive intraday volatility instead. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #CPI #inflation #Fed #Williams #Bostic #Musanlem #Hammack #macro #markets #yields #shutdown