ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (11/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold US DollarVANTAGE:XAUUSDELDORADOFX 1. Market Overview Gold opens the Asia session trading near $4,110–$4,115, sustaining the strong bullish momentum from Monday’s US rally. Price action continues to respect the ascending channel structure, but early divergence signals hint at slowing momentum. Bulls maintain control while price holds above $4,097, with short-term consolidation expected before a potential continuation toward $4,130–$4,145. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown Daily (D1) •The daily candle closed bullish above the key level $4,100, confirming a BOS and maintaining structure after the $4,013 breakout. •RSI ~59 indicates momentum still healthy with room to extend toward $4,150–$4,180. •Support sits around $4,085–$4,075, which aligns with prior demand and EMA50 confluence. H1 •Price consolidates within an ascending channel; structure is intact with consistent higher lows. •RSI hovering near 70 with MACD flattening, showing early exhaustion. •200EMA provides dynamic support near $4,095, key zone for intraday buyers. 15M–5M •Short-term trend remains bullish with visible CHoCHs and BOSs confirming continuation. •However, candles show rejection at $4,115–$4,118, forming potential liquidity traps before a corrective pullback into the Golden Zone. •Intraday RSI divergence present on 5M, suggesting potential retracement before next impulse. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 4,087 → 4,116) •38.2% → $4,105 •50.0% → $4,101 •61.8% → $4,097 🎯 Golden Zone: $4,105 – $4,097 (Key re-entry area for continuation) ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias) •Entry Zone: $4,105 – $4,097 (Golden Zone / EMA50 retest) •Targets: $4,120 → $4,130 → $4,145 •Stop Loss: Below $4,090 •Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M/15M chart after retest. ✅ Confluence: EMA structure + previous BOS + Fibonacci support.* ⸻ 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend Pullback) •Entry Zone: $4,115 – $4,120 (Upper channel + RSI 75 divergence) •Targets: $4,105 → $4,097 → $4,087 •Stop Loss: Above $4,125 •Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle or BOS break below $4,109. ⚠️ Countertrend only — potential short-term retracement before continuation. ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT SETUPS •Bullish Breakout: Above $4,120 → Retest $4,115 → Targets $4,130 → $4,145 → $4,165. •Bearish Breakout: Below $4,087 → Retest $4,090 → Targets $4,075 → $4,065. ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch •Asia Session: Expected quiet volatility; focus shifts toward liquidity buildup pre-London. •Key Theme: Market pricing in softer USD ahead of upcoming US CPI release later in the week. •DXY: Below 106 continues to support gold upside bias. •Sentiment: Mildly bullish unless DXY rebounds sharply. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels ZoneLevelRemarks Resistance 14,115Short-term cap, watch for breakout Resistance 24,130Intraday extension Resistance 34,145Major target Support 14,10538.2% fib Support 24,09761.8% fib / Golden Zone Support 34,087Key structure base Breakout Triggers>4,120 (Bullish) /