Daily Market Recap 14.08.2025

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Daily Market Recap 14.08.2025Euro FX FuturesCME:6E1!Scythe_TF - MN The price remains around the monthly fractal, with an untested monthly imbalance lying below. No new data has emerged yet. TF - W Over the past week, the price tested the 0.5% level of the weekly dealing range. If the current price holds within last week’s range, we will form a weekly fractal in discount territory. It is also worth noting that the trendline liquidity, marked by the red arc, is entirely positioned in discount territory, which may indicate low resistance in that area. The potential formation of a weekly fractal low could provide a downside target for shorts, as well as a level that could serve as a potential entry for long trades. TF - D On the daily chart, the market currently appears neutral. After breaking out of the previous range with a sharp drop, a new dealing range was formed. During the test of the weekly range’s discount levels, the price began forming bullish imbalances, then moved in a strong daily order flow, setting new highs after testing daily bullish imbalances. Over the last few days, however, no new bullish imbalances have formed, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading. It’s important to note that we are currently in the middle of a daily bearish imbalance, and today we saw a strong reaction upon testing its upper boundary. Considering these factors, my bias is short towards the potential weekly fractal low, provided the daily candle closes below 1.16425. Such a move would indicate to me that the market has found a seller within this trading range who is ready to sell. TF - h4 Looking at the H4 chart, the picture is slightly different. Despite a deep correction, we remain within the current trading range. There is an area of interest in the form of an imbalance that held the price today. However, there is also an opposing imbalance above, which may limit further upside movement. Theoretically, within the day we could see a test of the upper imbalance, followed by a move down towards the recent local lows, which are located inside a bullish imbalance. Another possible scenario is consolidation during the Asian session, the formation of a 1H fractal, and, upon a reaction to it, the price could start an upward move either towards the H4 imbalance above or to today’s high, which tomorrow will act as the PDH (Previous Day’s High).