talkSPORT betting tips – Best football bets and expert advice for Thursday 31 July

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Thursday sets up some cracking Europa League qualifiers, and we have a trio of selections with plenty on the line. BET £10 GET £30 IN FREE BETS WITH TALKSPORT BETThursday football betting tipsBet of the Day – Lugano to beat Cluj @ 21/10Lugano have work to do to keep their Europa League hopes alive, but the Swiss side can rise to the challenge in Romania. Cluj and Lugano battled to a 0-0 draw in the first leg of this second-round Europa League qualification tie, but the Black and Whites were dominant on home Cornaredo Stadium turf. Mattia Croci-Torti’s men recorded 77 per cent possession in Switzerland; they won the shot count 11-6 and registered 325 passes in the opposition half compared to Cluj’s 71. Clearly, those numbers came on home turf, but Croci-Torti’s side are well-suited to playing on the break away from home and Cluj will be chasing the tie on their own patch. The Romanians were poor when registering only one shot on target in a 2-0 home defeat to Arges Pitesti on Sunday, and while the focus would have been on Thursday’s European tie, that doesn’t look like ideal preparation. Special of the Day – Over 3.5 goals in Shakhtar Donetsk v Besiktas @ 5/4 Besiktas have a 4-2 deficit to overturn when they head to Poland’s Estadio Henryk Reyman to take on Shakhtar Donetsk, and not only are the Turkish side unlikely to turn things around, but it could end in a heavy defeat for the Black Eagles. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men actually came out on top on the expected goals for figures in the first leg of this Europa League qualification contest, but those numbers don’t stand up to much scrutiny. Tammy Abraham scored from the penalty spot for the Black Eagles at the Besiktas Stadium, and when you take the spot kick away, the non-penalty xG finished 1.59 to 0.88 in favour of Shakhtar. The Ukrainians had previously hammered Ilves 6-0 on aggregate in the first qualification round and it would be no surprise if this tie saw plenty of goals in a wide-margin defeat for Besiktas. Longshot of the Day – Celje to beat Larnaca @ 16/5 Celje and Larnaca are locked together following a 1-1 draw in Slovenia and the visitors look to have a better chance of winning at the ΑΕΚ Arena.Celje were clearly the better side in the first leg, and the Counts limited Larnaca to only two shots and one corner last week. Clearly, the Cypriots have home advantage on Thursday, but the Yellow and Greens were hugely fortunate to beat Partizan Belgrade in the previous round of their Europa League qualifiers and Larnaca look far too short in this spot. BET £10 GET £30 IN FREE BETS WITH TALKSPORT BETtalkSPORT BET OfferSign Up Offer: Bet £10 and get £30 in free bets – CLAIM HERET&Cs: 18+ New customers only. Opt in via mobile or app & bet £10+ on any football market at 2.00+ odds within 7 days. No Cash out. Get 6x £5 Free Bets on selected markets. Free bets expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsiblyOdds correct at time of publish and subject to change*18+ New customers only. Opt in via mobile or app & bet £10+ on any football market at 2.00+ odds within 7 days. No Cash out. Get 6x £5 Free Bets on selected markets. Free bets expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsiblyRemember to gamble responsiblyA responsible gambler is someone who:Establishes time and monetary limits before playingOnly gambles with money they can afford to loseNever chase their lossesDoesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry or depressedGamCare – www.gamcare.org.ukGamble Aware – www.gambleaware.orgFor help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 or go to www.gamstop.co.uk to be excluded from all UK-regulated gambling websites.Commercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. T&Cs apply. gambleaware.org