AR SHORT SET UPAR / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACTBINANCE:ARUSDT.PsignetronMost Probable Sniper Trade Setup for AR/USDT (4H) Analysis as of current 4H chart provided — Objective, Unbiased, Based on Structure & Momentum 🔍 Trend Context Macro Bias (4H): Bullish recovery after a strong retracement. VIDYA Trend Bands: Price reclaimed below-band zone, pushing into mid-band region, signaling potential mean reversion. Fib Pullback: Price bounced around the 50% zone of last impulse. Volume Delta Cluster: Noted bearish cluster at ~8.20–8.50, showing previous aggressive selling; currently being retested. 📉 Bearish Setup – Most Probable Trade (Short-biased mean-rejection trade from supply zone) Sniper Entry Zone: 🔺 $8.12–$8.30 (Upper bound of local supply zone + previous delta volume resistance) Stop Loss: 🔻 $8.57 (Above local wick high / invalidation zone with previous selling momentum) TP1 Range: ✅ $7.45–$7.20 (Mid-band reversion + minor support cluster and last bullish fair value gap area) TP2 Range (Extended): ✅ $6.80–$6.60 (Deep liquidity zone + fib golden pocket & consolidation shelf) Estimated Duration: ⏱ 1.5–3 days for TP1 ⏱ 4–5 days for TP2 (if breakdown continues with momentum) 🎯 Confluence Factors: Stoch RSI is overbought on 4H and starting to curve down → early signal for weakness. Price retesting prior sell zone with visible volume node (~$8.20–8.40). Broad structure shows lower highs forming post 9.00 rejection — potential for short-term pullback even within macro bullish context. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario (Invalidation & Flip Long): If price closes a 4H candle above $8.60 with momentum and volume >3M delta, setup flips to bullish breakout with targets at $9.10 → $9.80. ✅ Summary: Most Probable Setup: Bearish mean-rejection short Entry: $8.12–8.30 SL: $8.57 TP1: $7.45–7.20 TP2: $6.80–6.60 Confidence: High (based on overbought + structure + prior supply re-test) Let me know if you want this adapted to your 12x leverage sniper compounding model.