Trade Idea: I’m bullish on EURNZD.EUR/NZDOANDA:EURNZDWainainarobertEuro Finds a Tailwind, Kiwi Faces a Crosswind 🌬️💶🐑 The euro just got a major boost — not from within, but across the Atlantic. With the US-EU tariff deal now secured, one weight has been lifted off Europe’s shoulders. Meanwhile, New Zealand’s momentum is slowing under the weight of rate cut expectations. This divergence could be tradable. 📈 Trade Idea: I’m bullish on EURNZD. Why I’m backing euro strength over the kiwi right now: ✅ The US-EU tariff deal is done, removing a major external risk for Europe 🧊 ECB is holding steady after eight cuts — signaling policy stability 📉 RBNZ is expected to resume rate cuts, with a 2.75% target by year-end 🔁 Business confidence in NZ is high, but consumer sentiment remains soft 💬 Speculators are net long EUR, and net short NZD The Eurozone isn’t booming — but it’s stabilizing. Industrial production is up, inflation is cooling, and a fresh wave of investor optimism is lifting sentiment. With tariffs no longer hanging over the ECB’s head, the pressure to cut further eases. That’s a fundamental tailwind. On the other hand, New Zealand is in limbo. Domestic confidence is improving, but the RBNZ is stuck in a global game — and that game still favors more easing. Markets are already positioning for it, with speculative bets on the kiwi flipping negative. EURNZD is one of the cleanest expressions of central bank divergence and shifting macro sentiment right now. Are you with the fortress or the flock? Let me know your view. 🧱🐑👇