The Day Ahead

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The Day AheadEURO VS US DOLLARTRADENATION:EURUSDTradeNationKey Data Releases US: JOLTS (June): Provides insight into labor market slack; a tighter reading could delay Fed rate cuts. Advance Goods Trade Balance & Wholesale Inventories: Important for Q2 GDP revisions. Consumer Confidence (July): A strong print would reflect continued consumer resilience, a weak one could pressure cyclicals. Dallas Fed Services Activity (July): Regional business sentiment. FHFA House Price Index (May): Monitors housing market health. UK: Consumer Credit & M4 (June): Key for BoE rate path. France: Q2 total jobseekers – labor market stress indicator. Sweden: June GDP indicator – recession risk watch. Central Bank Focus ECB Consumer Expectations (June): Watch for shifts in inflation expectations that could impact eurozone policy outlook. Corporate Earnings A major earnings deluge with over 25 high-profile companies, highlighting: Tech/Payments: Visa, PayPal, Spotify, Electronic Arts Consumer/Healthcare: Procter & Gamble, UnitedHealth, Starbucks, Mondelez, AstraZeneca, Merck & Co Industrials/Travel: Boeing, UPS, Royal Caribbean, Stellantis Luxury/Retail: Kering, L’Oreal Financials: Barclays, Corning, Keyence Sentiment hinges on guidance outlooks and margin commentary, particularly as investors watch for signs of consumer fatigue or pricing power erosion. Auctions US 2-year FRN & 7-year Notes: Will test demand amid shifting Fed expectations; weak uptake could push yields higher. Conclusion for Today's Trading Today is data- and earnings-heavy, setting up for potentially elevated volatility. The US JOLTS and consumer confidence data will be pivotal for shaping Fed expectations. Meanwhile, a massive cross-sector earnings lineup could lead to stock-specific dispersion, especially in tech, healthcare, and consumer sectors. Treasury auctions may steer yield curves and weigh on equity sentiment if demand is weak. Trading Bias: Expect range-bound to choppy action in broader indices, with stock rotation driven by earnings surprises. Stay alert to macro data prints, particularly if they shift views on a September Fed move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.