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The think tank’s new report projects that, unless Congress acts, Social Security’s main trust fund will be insolvent by the end of 2032, triggering automatic and painful benefit cuts for everyone relying on the program.How painful? Around $18,000 less per year for retirees who depend on the program. This is not the first time the CRFB has warned about this, and it’s a common refrain from no less than the Oracle of Omaha himself: famed investor Warren Buffett.Social Security and Medicare, the two bedrock programs supporting older Americans, are drawing closer to insolvency than many might realize. The most recent data, compiled from the programs’ own trustees and enhanced by CRFB calculations, forecasts that by late 2032, Social Security’s retirement program will no longer be able to pay out promised benefits in full. At that point, the law dictates that payments must be limited to the amount coming in from payroll taxes—resulting in an immediate, across-the-board benefit reduction.For millions of future retirees, the numbers are stark. CRFB’s estimate reveals that a typical dual-earning couple retiring at the start of 2033 would see their annual Social Security benefit drop by approximately $18,100. The percentage cut is projected to be 24% for that year, instantly slashing retirement incomes for over 62 million Americans who depend on the program.The pain would be widespread but would vary by income and household type. For example, single-earner couples could see a $13,600 cut, while low-income, dual-earner couples face an $11,000 shortfall. And high-income couples might lose up to $24,000 a year.Major cuts are headed for Social Security, the CRFB says.While the dollar cut is smaller for lower-income households, the relative burden is even more severe, devouring a larger share of retirement income and past earnings. Also, these cuts are in nominal dollars; adjusted to 2025 dollars, the actual cut would be about 15% less.Social Security is funded by a dedicated payroll tax, but the gap between what goes out in benefits and what comes in through taxes is growing. The newly enacted One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) has accelerated the timeline by reducing Social Security’s revenue through tax rate cuts and an expanded senior standard deduction. According to CRFB, these policies increase the necessary benefit reduction by about one percentage point; if the changes become permanent, the benefit cuts would be even deeper.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,389.77 +1.13 (+0.02%)Dow 3044,837.56 -64.36 (-0.14%)Nasdaq21,178.58 +70.27 (+0.33%)Russell 20002,256.73 -4.34 (-0.19%)VIX15.03 +0.10 (+0.67%)Gold3,312.00 +2.00 (+0.06%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersSCLX Scilex Holding Company 15.52 +3.56 (+29.77%)STEM Stem, Inc. 18.91 +3.92 (+26.15%)NEGG Newegg Commerce, Inc. 39.08 +4.77 (+13.90%)LYEL Lyell Immunopharma, Inc. 13.73 +1.31 (+10.55%)SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. 60.05 +5.58 (+10.24%)Top losersCHPT ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. 9.91 -2.30 (-18.85%)ALB Albemarle Corporation 74.77 -8.97 (-10.71%)MCRB Seres Therapeutics, Inc. 13.24 -1.29 (-8.88%)KB KB Financial Group Inc. 78.40 -7.51 (-8.74%)RVTY Revvity, Inc. 95.04 -8.63 (-8.32%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 176.75 +3.25 (+1.87%)TSLA Tesla, Inc. 325.59 +9.53 (+3.02%)WBD Warner Bros. 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