TLRY Earnings Play: Lotto-Style PUT SetupTilray Brands, Inc.BATS:TLRYquantsignals 📉 **TLRY Earnings Play: Lotto-Style PUT Setup** *Tilray Brands (TLRY) - Earnings Due July 30 (AMC)* 🔻High risk. High reward. Possibly… nothing. But here's the setup: --- ### 🔬 Fundamental Breakdown: * 💸 **TTM Revenue Growth**: -1.4% (🚩 declining) * 📉 **Profit Margin**: -114.4% * 🧾 **Operating Margin**: -16.8% * 🧠 **EPS Surprise (avg 8Q)**: **-89.4%**, with only **12% beat rate** * 🧯 **Sector Risk**: Cannabis = Over-regulated + Overcrowded 🧮 **Fundamental Score**: 2/10 → Broken business model. --- ### 📊 Technicals: * 🔺 Above 20D MA (\$0.61) and 50D MA (\$0.49) * 🔻 Well below 200D MA (\$0.91) * 📉 Volume 0.72x = Weak institutional interest * 📏 RSI: 57.69 (neutral drift) **Technical Score**: 4/10 → Weak drift, low conviction. --- ### ⚠️ No Options Flow. No Big Bets Seen. (But that’s exactly what makes this a clean lotto...) --- ## 🎯 Lotto Trade Idea: ```json { "Type": "PUT", "Strike": "$0.70", "Expiry": "Aug 1, 2025", "Entry": "$0.10", "Profit Target": "$0.50", "Stop Loss": "$0.035", "Confidence": "30%", "Size": "2% portfolio max", "Timing": "Pre-earnings close" } ``` --- ### 🧠 Strategy: This is not a trade based on strength. It’s based on **TLRY’s consistent failure to deliver** — and if it disappoints again, we ride the downside. If not? Risk tightly capped. --- ⚖️ **Conviction**: 35% 💀 **Risk**: Total loss possible 🚀 **Reward**: 400%+ possible --- 📝 *Not financial advice — just one degenerate’s earnings notebook.* 💬 Drop your TLRY lotto plans below👇