TSLA at the Edge of Reversal or Rally? Key Setup Ahead. Jul 28Tesla, Inc.BATS:TSLABullBearInsights🔍 Technical Analysis (1H + 15M Confluence) * Market Structure: After a steep drop from $334, TSLA has shown a recovery off the $300.41 low. The 1H chart shows a bounce forming higher lows, with price now consolidating around $317–$318. * SMC Insight (15M): The bullish BOS and CHoCH signal a structural shift. Price has respected the ascending channel and reacted from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) inside a purple supply zone near $323–$325, indicating short-term resistance. * Volume Analysis: Volume increased on the bullish move off $302.5 demand zone, indicating possible accumulation, but stalled near resistance. 🔐 Key Supply & Demand Levels: * Demand Zones (Support): * $302.5 (1H GEX HVL zone + volume demand) * $300.41 (last low & liquidity pocket) * Supply Zones (Resistance): * $323.62–$325 (15M supply + GEX resistance zone) * $334–$338 (GEX7/High wall) 📈 Options Sentiment – GEX & Flow * Gamma Walls (Resistance): * $317–$323: Heavy CALL walls, especially at $320 (Gamma Wall) * $335–$338: Strong GEX7 / GEX9 resistance — potential magnet only if TSLA breaks 325 cleanly * PUT Walls (Support): * $302.5: HVL + PUT support * $295 & $290: Lower extreme GEX support (panic defense zones) * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 7.1 (very low — cheap premiums) * IVx avg: 51.7 (slightly elevated fear) * Call Bias: 68.8% bullish * GEX Sentiment: ✅✅✅ bullish until $325, then neutral-to-risky 🎯 Trade Setups ✅ Bullish Setup (if price holds above $316–317): * Entry: 317.50–318.00 (current consolidation) * Target 1: 323.50 (supply) * Target 2: 334.00 (GEX9 magnet) * Stop-loss: 312.70 (SMC breaker structure + 15M CHoCH invalidation) Scalp Target: 323 Swing Target: 334 Add Calls (weekly): Only above 320 breakout with volume. ❌ Bearish Setup (if price loses 312.70): * Entry: < 312.50 breakdown * Target 1: 305.30 (mid-demand) * Target 2: 302.50 (HVL & GEX PUT support) * Stop-loss: 316.10 (back inside channel, bullish flip invalid) Scalp Target: 305 Swing Target: 302.5 Add Puts: Only below 312.5 with confirmation candle. ⚖️ Bias & Scenario Outlook: * Neutral-to-Bullish Bias: As long as price holds above 316 and respects the ascending trendline. * Risk Zone: 323–325 = possible reversal zone (heavy GEX wall + supply) * Gamma Flip Above: 325 opens up 334–338. 📌 Conclusion: TSLA is compressing between supply and demand. Monday’s price action around 317–320 will be key. A break above 320 could fuel a GEX chase to 334, while rejection may trigger a pullback toward 305–302. Stay nimble and let price confirm direction around key GEX walls and SMC structure. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.