Dubai Financial Market 2025-26DFM General IndexDFM:DFMGIstalkstock What happened in 2025 (the story of the year) ### 1) Q1 → early Q2: shaky market, then a hard shakeout * The index chopped early in the year, then **sold off sharply into late March / early April**. * You can see a **capitulation-style drop with a long lower wick** (panic flush), bottoming around the **4,65x–4,70x zone** (approx). **Meaning:** weak hands got forced out. This kind of flush often becomes the “year’s major low.” --- ### 2) Q2 → mid Q3: strong trend reversal + powerful rally * After that April low, DFM did a **V-reversal** and entered a **strong uptrend** (higher highs + higher lows). * It rallied aggressively all the way to the **6,20x area**, peaking around **6,205–6,25x**. **Meaning:** this was the “trend year.” Breakouts and buy-the-dip setups worked much better in this phase. --- ### 3) Q3 → Q4: topping behavior + range (distribution) * From around August onward, price becomes **sideways/choppy** with **lower momentum**. * The market repeatedly struggled near **6,205** (major resistance), and dips repeatedly found buyers near **5,822** (major support). * Late November / early December tested the **5,822** support again, then bounced strongly into year-end. **Meaning:** 2025 ended not in a clean trend, but in a **big range**. --- ## Where we are right now Latest close shown: **~6,114**. ### Resistance (where sellers have shown up) * **6,205** (biggest/most important) * **6,317** (next upside level on your chart) ### Support (where buyers defended) * **6,023 → 5,958 → 5,896** (stepping-stone supports) * **5,822** (most important support of the range) * If 5,822 breaks: **5,680** is the next major “line in the sand” --- ## What to expect in 2026 (3 realistic scenarios) ### Bull case (best for investors + swing traders) * Index **holds above ~6,023** and **reclaims 6,205** decisively. * Then probability increases of a push toward **6,317** and potentially higher. **Confirmation signal:** a clean break above **6,205** + hold (or breakout → retest → bounce). --- ### Range case (most likely if momentum stays mixed) * Index rotates between **5,822 support** and **6,205 resistance**. * This is where people get chopped if they chase green candles. --- ### Bear case (if support fails) * If **5,822 breaks and doesn’t recover quickly**, the market can slide to **5,680** or even lower support zones