GIEWS Country Brief: Morocco 23-July-2025

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Country: Morocco Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Please refer to the attached file. FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOTBelow‑average cereal harvest expected in 2025 due to prolonged drought conditionsAbove‑average cereal imports forecast in 2025/26 due to low local production for the second consecutive yearFood inflation remained low in 2025Below‑average cereal harvest expected in 2025 due to prolonged drought conditionsHarvesting of the 2025 cereal crop started last May. For wheat, it was completed by June, while barley harvesting is expected to continue up to end-July. Cumulative rainfall amounts during the winter season, from December 2024 to February 2025, were more than 60 percent below the long‑term average in key producing regions, including Fes‑Bouleman, Gharb, Grand Casablanca and Tanger Tetouan. This marks the second consecutive year of drought conditions in the country, affecting successive harvests which in turn may have further impacts on stock levels. Although late and abundant rainfall in March and April 2025 partially restored soil moisture levels, cereal production is forecast at about 4 million tonnes, about 27 percent below the average.Above‑average cereal imports are forecast in 2025/26 driven by low local production for the second consecutive yearPreliminary cereal import requirements for the marketing year 2025/26 (July/June) are forecast at 11 million tonnes, more than 20 percent above average, given the low domestic production in 2024 and the anticipated below‑average 2025 cereal harvest. The government extended the wheat import subsidy measure, which was initially effective until April 2025, until the end of the year, aiming to stabilize soft wheat prices and ensure an adequate supply of wheat flour for bread production.Food inflation remained low in 2025Annual food inflation in May 2025 was at 0.4 percent, down from 0.7 percent in April, marking the lowest rate since October 2024. This was driven by price declines in vegetables, fish, meat, bread and cereals.