GBPJPY Daily chart analyses British Pound/Japanese YenFX:GBPJPYsojib123450 Advanced Price Analysis with Timeframes 1. Key Observations from the Provided Data (H4 Chart) Current Price197.800 testing the H4 SUPPORTlevel at 198.000 - Trend Downtrend (Lower Highs & Lower Lows). - *Recent Structure - Resistance ~199.600 (rejected multiple times). - **Support -198.000 (critical level). - If 198.000 breaks next support is 197.500–197.000 *a) Higher Timeframe (Daily/D1) - If the **daily trend is bearish**, the H4 downtrend is likely to continue. - If the **daily trend is bullish**, the H4 drop could be a retracement before a bounce. - **Key Confirmation Needed**: - Check if **198.000 aligns with a daily support level** (e.g., Fibonacci, moving averages). **b) Lower Timeframe (H1/M15) - **Breakdown Scenario**: If price stays below **198.000** with strong bearish candles, expect a drop to **197.500 → 197.000**. - **Rebound Scenario**: If price holds **198.000** and forms a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., hammer, double bottom), a bounce to **198.600–199.000** is possible. --- *3. Key Levels to Watch | **Level** | **Importance** | **Scenario** | |-----------------|-------------------------|--------------| | **199.600** | Strong Resistance | Only break = Trend reversal | | **198.600** | Minor Resistance | Re-test if bounce occurs | | **198.000** | **H4 SUPPORT (Critical)** | Hold = Bounce / Break = Drop | | **197.500** | Next Support | Target if 198 breaks | | **197.000** | Psychological Support | Strong demand zone | --- 4. Trading Strategy Suggestions** - **Bearish Bias (Down)**: - Short if **198.000 breaks** with confirmation (e.g., closing below + high volume). - Target: **197.500 → 197.000**. - Stop Loss: **Above 198.300**. - **Bullish Bias (Up)**: - Long if **price bounces from 198.000** with a bullish pattern. - Target: **198.600 → 199.000**. - Stop Loss: **Below 197.800**. --- 5. Final Verdict** - **Higher Probability**: **Downside** (unless 198.000 holds strongly). - **Reversal Signal Needed**: Bullish engulfing, RSI divergence, or volume surge. **Recommendation**: Wait for **confirmation at 198.000** before taking a trade.