US100 (NASDAQ 100) 24-Hour Technical Analysis ForecastUS Tech 100 IndexPEPPERSTONE:NAS100shoonya0000Current Price: 23,076.60 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025) Analysis Period: Next 24 Hours (July 19-20, 2025) Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK Primary Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Short-term consolidation expected) Key Resistance: 23,150 - 23,250 Critical Support: 22,850 - 22,950 Expected Range: 22,900 - 23,200 Volatility Level: Moderate (Tech earnings season approach) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS Friday's Close Formation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern: Small-bodied candle with upper shadow at 23,076 Significance: Indecision after testing resistance near 23,150 Volume: Above-average volume suggesting institutional activity Context: Failed to break cleanly above psychological 23,100 level --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Patterns --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Monday Gap: Potential small gap up to 23,100-23,120 area Continuation Pattern: Bullish flag/pennant formation developing Key Reversal: Watch for hammer formation at 22,950 support if decline occurs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern Probability Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Doji/Spinning Top: 40% probability (continued indecision) Bullish Engulfing: 35% probability (if gap up occurs) Bearish Reversal: 25% probability (if resistance holds) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Current Harmonic Setup --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Bullish Cypher Pattern in Development --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- X: 22,400 (previous major low) A: 23,250 (recent swing high) B: 22,800 (61.8% retracement) C: 23,150 (127.2% extension - current test area) D (Completion): 22,650-22,750 (78.6% retracement zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Pattern: Bull Flag --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pole: 22,400 → 23,250 (850-point move) Flag: Current consolidation 22,950-23,150 Target: 23,250 + 850 = 24,100 (extended projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Golden Ratio Support: 22,950 (61.8% of recent swing) 38.2% Retracement: 23,025 23.6% Retracement: 23,050 Extension Target: 23,375 (161.8% projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT Primary Wave Count (Bullish Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger degree impulse in progress Current Position: Wave 4 correction completing Mini-wave Count: Flat correction pattern (A-B-C structure) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-Hour Wave Projection --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave A: 23,250 → 22,800 (Completed) Wave B: 22,800 → 23,150 (Completed - 70% retrace) Wave C: 23,150 → 22,950 (In Progress - Equal to A) Wave 5 Target: 24,000-24,200 (1.618 extension) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Count (Corrective Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Double zigzag correction Current Phase: Second zigzag development Target: 22,750-22,850 (Wave Y completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Critical Elliott Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave 4 Low: 22,750 (must hold for bullish count) Invalidation: Below 22,400 (Wave 1 high) Confirmation: Break above 23,250 (Wave 3 high) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE Current Market Phase Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Phase: Reaccumulation (Phase B-C transition) Composite Operator Action: Testing supply at 23,150 area Volume Analysis: Absorption of selling pressure evident Smart Money Activity: Institutional buying on dips below 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Wyckoff Dynamics --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Phase Progression: Moving toward Phase D (Sign of Strength) Testing Action: Final test of support at 22,950-23,000 Volume Expectation: Declining volume on any weakness Breakout Setup: Spring action possible below 22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Wyckoff Signals (24H Watch List) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above 23,150 with volume Last Point of Support (LPS): 22,950 area test No Supply: Expected on rallies to 23,100-23,150 Backup to Edge of Creek: Potential dip to 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS Square of Nine Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current Position: 23,076° on Gann wheel Next Cardinal Point: 23,100° (significant psychological resistance) Natural Support: 23,000° (perfect square - strong magnetic level) Critical Angle: 22,900° (45-degree angle support from recent low) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time Theory - 24H Cycle --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Time Cycle: 24-hour cycle from Friday's close Critical Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 hours: 02:00 UTC Monday (potential turn time) 18 hours: 14:00 UTC Monday (major turn potential) 24 hours: 20:00 UTC Monday (cycle completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Angle Theory Application --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rising 45° Line: Currently at 22,950 (critical support) Rising 63.75° Line: 23,100 (steep resistance angle) Declining 26.25° Line: 23,150 (gentle resistance) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Price Forecasting --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Square Root Method: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current: √23,076 ≈ 151.9 Next resistance: 152² = 23,104 Major resistance: 153² = 23,409 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Target: 23,104 (natural Gann resistance) Extended Target: 23,409 (next perfect square) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time-Price Harmony --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic Time: 144 hours from last major low Price Harmony: 23,076 in harmony with 22,500 base Next Harmony Level: 23,400 (Fibonacci price relationship) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS 5-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Micro Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern Support: 23,050-23,060 (recent lows) Resistance: 23,090-23,100 (intraday highs) Volume Profile: Balanced - no clear direction RSI (5M): 48-52 range (neutral) Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (breakout pending) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Bull flag formation Flag Boundaries: 23,040-23,120 Breakout Level: Above 23,120 (bullish) Breakdown Level: Below 23,040 (bearish) Moving Averages: EMA20 at 23,065 (support) MACD: Consolidating above zero line --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 30-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Ascending triangle Horizontal Resistance: 23,150 (multiple tests) Rising Support Line: From 22,950 to current levels Breakout Target: 23,350 (triangle height projection) Volume: Decreasing (typical triangle behavior) Bollinger Bands: Contracting (low volatility) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Major Structure: Bullish continuation pattern Cup and Handle: Handle formation in progress Handle Depth: 7% correction (healthy) Breakout Level: 23,175 (handle resistance) Target: 24,000 (cup depth projection) RSI (1H): 55 (bullish but not overbought) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Trend: Strong uptrend intact Correction Type: Shallow pullback (wave 4 character) Support Cluster: 22,900-23,000 (multiple confluences) Resistance Zone: 23,150-23,250 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish) Volume Trend: Higher lows pattern (accumulation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX Momentum Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RSI (4H): 58 (Bullish momentum, room for upside) RSI (1H): 55 (Neutral-bullish) Stochastic %K: 62 (Above %D line - bullish) Williams %R: -35 (Not oversold, upside potential) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trend Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MACD (4H): Above signal line, histogram positive ADX: 35 (Strong trend strength) Parabolic SAR: 22,950 (supportive) Supertrend: 22,850 (strong support) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volume Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OBV: Rising trend (accumulation pattern) Volume Rate of Change: Positive Chaikin Money Flow: +0.15 (buying pressure) Accumulation/Distribution: Uptrend --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8. KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H) Critical Resistance Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- R1: 23,100 (Psychological + Gann) R2: 23,150 (Technical resistance + harmonic) R3: 23,200 (Minor resistance) R4: 23,250 (Major swing high) R5: 23,350 (Extended target) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vital Support Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- S1: 23,040 (Immediate support) S2: 23,000 (Psychological + Gann) S3: 22,950 (Critical support cluster) S4: 22,900 (Strong technical support) S5: 22,850 (Major support zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9. 24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (50% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break above 23,120 with volume expansion Initial Target: 23,180-23,200 Extended Target: 23,300-23,350 Stop Loss (Longs): Below 22,990 Expected Timeline: 12-18 hours from breakout --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation (35% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Range: 23,000-23,150 Trading Strategy: Range-bound scalping Buy Zone: 23,020-23,040 Sell Zone: 23,120-23,140 Duration: Full 24-hour period --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (15% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break below 22,990 on volume Target 1: 22,900-22,950 Target 2: 22,850-22,900 Bounce Level: 22,800-22,850 Recovery Above: 23,050 negates bearish scenario --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10. RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H) Bullish Catalysts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tech earnings optimism building AI sector momentum continuation Institutional portfolio rebalancing (month-end flows) Strong economic data expectations Risk-on sentiment from Asia markets --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bearish Risk Factors --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Profit-taking ahead of earnings Rising bond yields concern Geopolitical tensions impact Overbought technical condition worries Sector rotation out of tech --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- High-Impact Events (Next 24H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian market opening (risk sentiment gauge) Weekend news flow analysis Pre-earnings positioning Options expiry effects Futures gap analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H) For Scalpers (5M-15M Timeframes) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Setup: Triangle breakout trade Entry Long: Above 23,120 Target: 23,160-23,180 Stop Loss: 23,080 Risk/Reward: 1:2 ratio --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Intraday Traders (30M-1H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Strategy: Bull flag continuation Entry Zone: 23,050-23,070 (on dips) Target 1: 23,150 Target 2: 23,200 Stop Loss: 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Swing Setup (4H basis) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Approach: Pullback buying opportunity Optimal Entry: 22,950-23,000 Primary Target: 23,350-23,400 Extended Target: 23,600 Stop Loss: 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS Bullish Confluence at 22,950-23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Theory: 23,000° perfect square support Elliott Wave: Wave 4 completion zone Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement level Moving Averages: EMA 50 confluence Volume Profile: High volume node support --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Resistance Confluence at 23,150-23,200 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic: Cypher pattern C-point resistance Previous Structure: Multiple test area Psychological: Round number resistance Gann Angles: 63.75° resistance line Elliott Wave: Wave B completion area Technical: Flag pattern upper boundary --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY Most Likely Scenario: Continued consolidation with upward bias, testing 23,150 resistance with potential breakout to 23,200+ levels. Trading Range Expectation: 22,980 - 23,180 (primary range) Breakout Levels: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bullish: Above 23,120 → targets 23,200-23,350 Bearish: Below 22,980 → targets 22,900-22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian Open: 00:00-02:00 UTC (gap direction) US Pre-market: 08:00-13:30 UTC (institutional flows) US Cash Open: 13:30 UTC (volume confirmation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Risk Management Notes: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Position sizing should account for tech sector volatility Weekend gap risk considerations Earnings season positioning effects --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Probability Assessment: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50% - Bullish breakout scenario 35% - Range-bound consolidation 15% - Bearish breakdown --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. 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