Adani Power (NSE:ADANIPOWER) Technical Analysis July 18th, 2025ADANI POWER LTDNSE:ADANIPOWERshoonya0000Current Price: ₹594.65 (as of July 18th, 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4) Target Price: ₹633.67 (+6.56% upside potential) Executive Summary Adani Power is currently showing mixed signals across different timeframes. The stock has broken through key resistance levels but is facing overhead resistance. Multiple technical theories suggest a consolidation phase with potential for upward movement. 1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS Intraday Patterns (5M-1H) Current Formation: Doji/Spinning top patterns indicating indecision Key Pattern: Inside bar formations suggest consolidation Volume Profile: Moderate volume with no significant breakout confirmation Swing Patterns (4H-Weekly) Primary Pattern: Rectangle/Channel formation identified Support Zone: ₹513-520 (Strong support) Resistance Zone: ₹588-600 (Current testing area) 2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Potential Patterns ABCD Pattern: Incomplete - monitoring for completion around ₹630-650 zone Gartley Pattern: Potential bearish setup if rejection occurs at current levels Fibonacci Levels: Support: ₹450 (S1), ₹300 (S2), ₹200 (S3) Resistance: ₹700 (R1), ₹850 (R2), ₹1,000 (R3) 3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY Wave Count Analysis Primary Wave: Currently in Wave 3 of a larger impulse structure Sub-wave: Wave 4 correction potentially completing around ₹580-590 Target: Wave 5 projection towards ₹700-750 zone Invalidation Level: Below ₹513 would negate current count Time Cycles Short-term: 5-8 day correction cycle Medium-term: 21-34 day impulse cycle active 4. WYCKOFF THEORY ANALYSIS Current Phase Assessment Phase: Potential Mark-up Phase (Phase D-E transition) Volume Analysis: Accumulation patterns visible on weekly charts Smart Money: Institutional interest evident from volume profiles Composite Operator: Testing supply around ₹600 levels Key Levels Spring Test: ₹513 level held as key support Supply Line: ₹588-600 acting as resistance Upthrust Potential: Break above ₹605 could trigger mark-up 5. W.D. GANN THEORY ANALYSIS Square of Nine Analysis Current Position: 594° on the wheel Next Resistance: 625° (₹625) - significant Gann angle Support Level: 576° (₹576) - 45-degree angle support Cardinal Points: 600° represents a critical decision point Time Theory Natural Time Cycles: 90-day cycle completion expected by August 2025 Anniversary Dates: Historical significant dates align with current timeframe Time Windows: July 25-30, 2025 represents important time cluster Angle Theory 1x1 Angle: Currently trading above the 1x1 rising angle from ₹513 low 2x1 Angle: Resistance at ₹630 level (steep angle) Price/Time Squares: Next square at ₹625 (25²) Forecasting Price Target: ₹625-650 based on geometric progressions Time Target: 15-20 trading days for next significant move Harmony Level: ₹594 is in harmony with previous swing levels 6. ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO ANALYSIS Cloud (Kumo) Analysis Current Position: Price trading above the cloud (bullish) Cloud Thickness: Thin cloud ahead suggests easier breakout potential Cloud Color: Green cloud in coming periods (bullish bias) Line Analysis Tenkan-sen (9): ₹587 - price above (bullish) Kijun-sen (26): ₹571 - price above (strong bullish) Chikou Span: Clear of price action (no interference) Senkou Span A: ₹579 (support) Senkou Span B: ₹562 (key support) 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI Analysis Current RSI: 58-62 range (neutral to slightly bullish) Divergence: No major divergences detected Overbought/Oversold: Not in extreme zones Bollinger Bands Position: Price in upper half of bands Squeeze: Bands expanding, indicating increased volatility Signal: Potential for continued upward movement VWAP Analysis Daily VWAP: ₹591 (price above - bullish) Weekly VWAP: ₹584 (strong support) Volume Profile: Heavy volume around ₹570-580 zone Moving Averages SMA 20: ₹583 (bullish crossover) EMA 20: ₹586 (price above) SMA 50: ₹567 (strong support) EMA 50: ₹569 (upward sloping) SMA 200: ₹524 (long-term bull market) 8. MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Intraday Timeframes 5-Minute Chart Trend: Sideways with bullish bias Key Level: ₹592-596 range bound Signal: Wait for breakout above ₹600 15-Minute Chart Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern Volume: Decreasing (typical in consolidation) Target: ₹605-610 on upside breakout 30-Minute Chart Trend: Higher highs and higher lows intact Support: ₹590-592 Resistance: ₹598-602 1-Hour Chart Trend: Bullish flag pattern forming Breakout Level: Above ₹602 Target: ₹625-630 4-Hour Chart Trend: Strong uptrend since ₹513 low Pattern: Bull flag consolidation Key Level: ₹588 as crucial support Swing Timeframes Daily Chart Trend: Primary uptrend intact Pattern: Rectangle between ₹513-588 broken upside Target: Next resistance at ₹700 zone Weekly Chart Trend: Long-term bullish structure Support: ₹450-500 major support zone Resistance: ₹700-750 target area Monthly Chart Trend: Recovery from major lows Long-term View: Potential for ₹850+ targets Time Horizon: 6-12 months for major targets 9. FORECAST & OUTLOOK Intraday Forecast (Next 1-5 Days) Bias: Neutral to Bullish Range: ₹585-610 Breakout Level: Above ₹605 for ₹625 target Stop Loss: Below ₹582 Swing Forecast (Next 2-8 Weeks) Primary Target: ₹633-650 Secondary Target: ₹700-720 Support Zone: ₹570-580 Risk Level: Medium (volatility expected) Key Risk Factors Overall market sentiment and Adani group developments Earnings disappointment (recent -23.91% surprise noted) Broader power sector dynamics Regulatory changes in power sector Trading Strategy Recommendations For Intraday Traders Buy: Above ₹602 with ₹610-615 target Sell: Below ₹590 with ₹582-585 target Risk Management: 1-2% position sizing For Swing Traders Accumulate: ₹580-590 zone Target: ₹633-650 (first target) Stop Loss: Below ₹570 (daily close basis) Time Horizon: 4-8 weeks Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish View Multiple theories align for ₹625-650 targets Strong volume accumulation patterns Technical breakout from rectangle formation Ichimoku cloud support Gann squares and angles alignment Warning Signals to Watch Daily close below ₹580 RSI divergence formation Volume decrease on any upward moves Broader market weakness Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult with financial advisors and conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.