IBM Earnings Trade Setup – JULY 22, 2025

Read post on tradingview.com

IBM Earnings Trade Setup – JULY 22, 2025International Business Machines CorporationBATS:IBMquantsignals 📡 IBM Earnings Trade Setup – JULY 22, 2025 💼 IBM: Big Blue’s Rebound or Breakdown? Earnings Play Incoming ⸻ 🔍 1. FUNDAMENTALS SNAPSHOT 📊 Revenue Growth: +0.5% YoY — flat in a fast-moving tech landscape 💰 Margins:  • Gross: 57.0%  • Operating: 12.4%  • Net: 8.7% ⚠️ Debt-to-Equity: 247.98 – Very high 🎯 EPS Beat Rate: 8/8 (Avg +3–5%) 📉 Analyst Sentiment: Mixed → PT = $273.36 < Current ($284.71) 🧠 Fundamental Score: 7/10 – Steady but slow ⸻ 💣 2. OPTIONS FLOW SNAPSHOT 📍 Key Strikes:  • $280 Puts  • $310 Calls → Divergent sentiment 📉 IV: Moderate → ~5% expected move 📊 VIX: 16.65 → Favorable macro backdrop 🧷 Gamma Positioning: Volatility expected post-earnings 📟 Options Flow Score: 6/10 – Neutral bias, light commitment ⸻ ⚙️ 3. TECHNICAL SETUP 📉 RSI: 33.17 → Oversold zone 📍 Support: $281.25  📍 Resistance: $287.96 (20MA) 📊 Volume: 0.84x average – Low conviction 📈 Technical Score: 6/10 – Setup for rebound, but watch for follow-through ⸻ 🌐 4. MACRO & INDUSTRY CONTEXT 🚀 Tailwinds: Hybrid cloud & AI transition → long-term catalyst ⚖️ Risks: High rates + weak enterprise spend = potential margin drag 🌐 Low VIX = Calm backdrop, but high post-earnings reactivity 🌍 Macro Score: 8/10 ⸻ 🎯 DIRECTIONAL CALL 🟡 Moderately Bullish – 70% Confidence → Conservative management, solid margins, oversold technicals… but revenue flat and sentiment split ⸻ 🛠️ TRADE IDEA 🔹 BUY $290 Call exp. 07/25 @ $6.00 🎯 Target: $12.00+ (→ stock > $296) ⚠️ Stop Loss: $3.00 📅 Entry: Before Earnings Close (Jul 23, AMC) 💰 Risk/Reward: 1:2 (100% risk, up to 200% reward) ⸻ 🔐 RISK PLAN 💼 Max Risk = 2% Portfolio → 2 contracts (for $100k acct) 📉 Exit if down 50% ⏱️ Time Stop: Exit by 10AM EST post-earnings if flat ⸻ 🧬 TRADE DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "IBM", "direction": "call", "strike": 290.0, "expiry": "2025-07-25", "confidence": 70, "profit_target": 12.00, "stop_loss": 3.00, "size": 2, "entry_price": 6.00, "entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close", "earnings_date": "2025-07-23", "earnings_time": "AMC", "expected_move": 5.0, "iv_rank": 0.50, "signal_publish_time": "2025-07-22 14:58:35 UTC-04:00" } ⸻ #IBM #EarningsPlay #OptionsFlow #TechStocks #HybridCloud #CallOptions #VolatilitySetup #TradingView