Libya: Quarterly Mixed Migration Update: North Africa, Quarter 2, 2025

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Countries: Libya, Algeria, Canary Islands (Spain), Greece, Italy, Morocco, Spain, Tunisia Source: Mixed Migration Centre Please refer to the attached file. Key Updates• Sea arrivals in Italy are rising, primarily driven by departures from Libya. As of 29 June, Italy recorded 29,705 irregular sea arrivals in 2025, a 17% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Departures from Libya increased by 116%, accounting for 91% of arrivals in Italy, while departures from Tunisia are accounting for 6% of arrivals only.• The number of migrants arriving in Greece from eastern Libya continued to rise, with a 174% increase since the beginning of 2025 compared to last year. In response, the Greek government announced plans to deploy naval warships near Libyan waters as deterrent measures.• Since early April 2025, large-scale security operations have been carried out to dismantle migrant settlements in the Tunisian city of Sfax, impacting over 9,000 people who were displaced. With limited alternatives, some migrants are returning home while others are resorting to dangerous sea crossings, including self-smuggling.• Italy approved a €20 million programme aimed at facilitating the voluntary return of approximately 3,300 migrants from Algeria, Tunisia, and Libya. This follows a joint statement by civil society organisations warning that such returns, from Libya and Tunisia, are rarely voluntary in practice.• France and Morocco announced the creation of a joint task force to facilitate the return of irregular Moroccan nationals.• The European Commission proposed designating Tunisia and Morocco as “safe countries of origin,” enabling faster processing of asylum claims. Rights groups warn this may undermine safeguards like protection against refoulement and could also formalise wider deportation agreements.• Despite some signs of a more open migration and asylum policy, Algeria has intensified expulsions to Niger. Between April and early June 2025, Algeria expelled over 16,000 migrants to Niger, more than half of all recorded expulsions in 2024.