New highs for bitcoin but momentum lowerBitcoinFX:BTCUSDMichael_Stark_ExnessGenerally lower trade tension, ongoing expectations of two more cuts by the Fed this year and speculation about Jerome Powell’s possible replacement have been some of the main macro fundamental factors driving bitcoin recently. Sentiment in crypto markets generally is greedy but liquidity and volatility have been more limited. So far this movement starting in early July has been much more limited in scope compared to the frantic gains late in 2024. The very obvious candidate for medium-term resistance would be the 161.8% weekly Fibonacci extension slightly below $140,000. It’s practically certain that the price will reach there sooner or later, but the challenge for traders of CFDs on bitcoin is how long that’s going to take and how far the price might retrace lower before then. Currently there’s no overbought signal from either Bollinger Bands (50) or the slow stochastic, but saturation generally isn’t a useful signal for cryptocurrencies anyway. In the absence of any evidence of significant profit-taking after $120,000 was reached and amid seemingly high buying demand with an ongoing media frenzy, the price is likely to make a new high again soon unless fundamentals and sentiment shift dramatically. Timing the trade though is potentially very difficult. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.