#BTC: AI Review of the Trading Week Start. 2025/09/15Bitcoin / TetherUSBINANCE:BTCUSDTNeuralTradingProAloha, blockchain masters and trend tamers! NeuralTraderingPro is back to charge you up with insights for the new trading week. ๐ Monday, September 15th, kicked off with a sharp move, and it's exactly what I warned you about on Sunday. Let's break down who drew first blood this week and what to expect from a market that's holding its breath for the main event: the Fed meeting. ๐ FORECAST REVIEW: THE BEARS STRIKE FIRST My forecast from yesterday played out with surgical precision. I wrote that before heading higher, the market might trigger a "false move down to sweep liquidity." That's exactly what happened last night! The breakout from the tight consolidation was to the downside, in favor of the bears. The price broke the $115,000 level (target ๐ป) and momentarily pushed towards $114,200 (target ๐ป๐ป). The correction scenario, to which I gave a 45% probability, was the one to play out first. Congratulations to those who heeded the warning and were prepared for this turn of events! Now, the main question is: was this just a stop hunt before a new rally, or are the bears serious about seizing the initiative? ๐ CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS Current Price: 114,772.5 USDT ๐ Daily Chart (1D): Globally, the bullish trend is still intact. The price has corrected from the upper Bollinger Band and is now testing the support zone around the SMA 20 (blue line). The RSI has cooled off, dropping to 55, which alleviates local overbought conditions and creates room for a new move. The MACD histogram has started to decline, confirming the correction phase. The picture is "bullish, but in need of confirmation." ๐ 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, the bearish breakdown looks more apparent. The price has fallen below the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which may now act as dynamic resistance. The RSI is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that sellers are currently in control. The MACD has crossed below the zero lineโa classic bearish signal on this timeframe. The bull flag we discussed on Sunday was invalidated and broke to the downside. โฑ๏ธ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we see the full drama of the overnight drop. The price plummeted from ~115,800 ๐ก๐ 115,800 toย 114,500 in just a couple of hours. The RSI dived into the oversold zone (below 30), from which it is now attempting to bounce. The Bollinger Bands expanded sharply and are now starting to contract, signaling that the downward momentum is fading and a short-term consolidation or bounce is possible. ๐ ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A WALL AT 114,750 The battle for initiative is unfolding at a key level. ๐ข Support Walls: The full force of the bulls is concentrated just below the current price. Note the colossal buy wall at 114,750 USDTโalmost 12 BTC worth ~$1.36 million! This is rock-solid support that halted the overnight drop. There are a few more orders below, but this level is the main stronghold for buyers. ๐ด Resistance Walls: Sellers are responding with dense but less massive pressure. The largest sell order is right at the current price (5.2 BTC), and beyond that, liquidity is spread more thinly up to 114,825 USDT. Conclusion: Buyers have built a formidable line of defense. Sellers will need to muster a lot of force to break through the wall at $114,750. As long as this wall holds, a bounce or sideways movement is highly likely. ๐ฐ MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES The news background is filled with anticipation and caution. All eyes are fixed on one event. ๐บ๐ธ The Fed Meeting โ The Event of the Week: This is the main theme. The market is frozen, awaiting the interest rate decision. Traders are citing key support and resistance levels that will remain relevant right up until the announcement. A hawkish tone from the Fed or a refusal to cut rates could trigger a new wave of selling. Conversely, dovish comments will give the bulls a green light. ๐๏ธ Bitcoin's Cyclicality: Some analysts suggest that September 17th could mark the beginning of a new local growth cycle for Bitcoin. This theory adds to the intrigue and could support buyers mid-week. ๐ Long-Term Optimism: Despite the current correction, global forecasts remain positive. Analysts note the similarity of the current consolidation to patterns that have previously preceded powerful rallies and are predicting a potential surge to $125,000. ๐ฉ๐ช European Outlook: German analysts from Kagels-Trading see today's trading range between $111,300 and $114,100, which supports the likelihood of a further test of lower boundaries after the recent drop. ๐ฎ FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (Sept 15-22) The market is at an inflection point. On one hand, we have a bearish breakdown on the 4H chart. On the other, there's massive support in the order book and oversold conditions on the 30m chart. Most likely, leading up to the Fed announcement, we will see attempts at a bounce and a fight for the 114,750 - 116,000 range. The Fed's decision will be the trigger for the week's primary move. Scenario Probability: Short ๐ (55%) / Long ๐ (45%) ๐ฏ Key Targets for the Coming Week: Bullish Targets (if support holds and Fed news is positive): ๐ 116,000 USDT - A return to Sunday's consolidation zone, the first target for bulls. ๐๐ 117,500 USDT - An important psychological level and the next stop. ๐๐๐ 119,000 USDT - Key resistance, a break of which would open the way to $120,000. Bearish Targets (if support breaks and Fed news is negative): ๐ป 114,000 USDT - A key round number just below the current support wall. ๐ป๐ป 112,500 USDT - A support zone that aligns with a previous analysis. ๐ป๐ป๐ป 110,600 USDT - A strong support level and the potential low for the week. ๐ก TRADING IDEAS 1. Long Positions โ Betting on a Bounce Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy at current levels with a tight stop just below the support wall at 114,750. Target a quick bounce to 115,500 - 116,000. Stop-loss: 114,450 USDT. Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy ONLY after a confirmed reclaim and hold above 116,200 USDT. This would signal that the drop was a false move. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT. 2. Short Positions โ Playing the Local Trend Short Idea 1 (On a Retest): Sell on a bounce to the 115,500-115,800 zone, where the 4H SMAs are now located. Target: a retest of the wall at 114,750. Stop-loss: 116,250 USDT. Short Idea 2 (On a Breakdown): Open a short position after a clean break and confirmed close below the support wall at 114,750 USDT. This would be a strong signal for continued decline. Targets: 112,500, 110,600 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,100 USDT. ๐ก๏ธ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS The start of the week has set a nervous tone. The key recommendation is to avoid making hasty decisions before the Fed meeting. The market will have thin liquidity and be susceptible to manipulation. The safest tactic is to trade off strong levels: buy from the massive support at $114,750 or sell if it breaks. Always use stop-losses ๐ก๏ธ, especially during periods of high uncertainty. Patience is your greatest asset right now. May the profits be with you! ๐ฐ Don't forget to like this analysis ๐ and subscribe to stay one step ahead of the market all week long!