Bitcoin Blow-Off Top

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Bitcoin Blow-Off TopBitcoin FuturesCME_DL:BTC1!AlphaTurtleBitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong rally into the $120k region. On the weekly timeframe, several signals point toward a potential corrective leg lower: 📊 Key Technicals Major Supply Zone: $115k–$120k area has acted as resistance, with sellers defending this level. Trend Structure: Price has broken momentum after the blow-off move and is now trading below recent highs. EMA Support: Price is extended above the EMA 60 (94k), leaving room for mean reversion. COT Data: Commercials are heavily net short with a COT Index blow-off signal, indicating distribution from strong hands to weak hands. 🎯 Trade Thesis The risk-reward favors the short side from current levels. Initial downside target sits at the $95k region (prior resistance turned support + EMA alignment). A break of that level could open the door toward the $80k handle in the medium term. 📌 Plan Entry: 114k–116k Stop: Above 120k Targets: TP1: 95k TP2: 80k 💡 This setup combines market structure, supply zone rejection, and institutional positioning via COT. The technical picture suggests Bitcoin is vulnerable to a deeper pullback before any further sustainable rally.