Don't go crazy with gold, please be rational

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Don't go crazy with gold, please be rationalGoldOANDA:XAUUSDSpringGrantGold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups. I believe many of my friends who followed me made money during this gold rally, but some new friends must have gotten stuck with their orders or had their accounts wiped out! This market is like this; it can bring both wealth and disaster! So even if you've wiped out your account, don't lose heart or get crazy. Calm down. Gold will fall.