Getting Cautious On Stanley Black & Decker

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Sep. 11, 2025 5:41 AM ETStanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) StockSWKPatrick Doyle7.34K FollowersI'm holding my SWK shares but not adding, as the yield is less attractive and the valuation is near decade highs.Recent profitability improvements are mostly cost-driven, but rising SG&A despite lower revenue is concerning.Compared to a 4.03% 10-year Treasury, SWK's 4.33% yield is only marginally better, making the risk/reward less compelling.If you own SWK, hold; if not, wait for a price drop before considering entry, as current risk outweighs potential return.njpPhoto/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesIt’s been about five months since I took a small position in Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK), and in that time the shares have returned about 23.7% against a gain ofThis article was written byPatrick Doyle7.34K FollowersI'm a quant investment newsletter writer who marries fundamental analysis with the latest research in momentum. Over the past few years, I’ve developed a piece of software that helps me track the level of optimism and pessimism embedded in stock price. I seek to challenge the assumptions embedded in price by profitably exploiting the disconnect between what the market thinks and what is a likely outcome. I invest in those companies that have a greater than average chance of giving us all a surprise in the next few months.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SWK either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Comments