Matt Glassman: “The Democrats are well-positioned to win the House in 2026 and perhaps even make serious gains in the Senate. Thermostatic public opinion is real in America, and the public almost always punishes the president’s party in the midterms. Trump is incredibly unpopular and his party remains divided over a number of his major policies.”“It can be hard in politics to do nothing, but if the Democrats strategically shut down the government, they will likely hurt themselves on the margin electorally, for no real potential upside.”