Sugar Futures Long SetupSugar No. 11 FuturesICEUS_DLY:SB1!AlphaTurtleThis is my play — based on seasonality, COT index, and supply/demand. Seasonality into Q4 historically supports sugar strength. COT Index: commercials/hedgers are now heavily long, which typically signals a turning point — these players are often positioned opposite speculators at major inflection zones. Managed money has been trimming shorts, opening the door for a short-cover rally. Price is pressing into a long-term base zone, with RSI washed out and downside momentum stalling. Trade Plan ✅ Entry: initiating longs around current levels (~15.8c/lb). 🎯 Target (TP): 17.50c/lb — confluence of prior resistance and seasonal tendency. 🔒 Stop: under recent structure lows (~14.8c/lb) for clean invalidation. Bias Positioning, seasonals, and supply/demand all line up for a long setup. With commercials positioned aggressively long, I see this as a potential turning point with asymmetric upside into 17.5c. ⚠️ Not financial advice — just my read on sugar positioning and seasonals.