BTCUSD Stuck in a Long 55-Day Range — Waiting for the Spark

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BTCUSD Stuck in a Long 55-Day Range — Waiting for the SparkBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDPouyanFaBitcoin has been trapped in a long, exhausting, and indecisive range for nearly 55 days, clearly waiting for a spark to break out in one direction. Based on the range structure, price will most likely revisit the $87,000 area, which represents the lower boundary of the range. From there, we need to closely monitor volume and momentum to see whether the market has enough strength to break below the range and push price lower. This is our primary scenario. The second scenario, which has a lower probability because it goes against the main direction and requires strong momentum, would be a reversal from the current level (the middle of the range) followed by a breakout above the range high. Personally, I don’t like upside breakouts from ranges like this — they’re very risky and require multiple confirmations to avoid getting caught in a fake move. In contrast, the first scenario needs far less confirmation because it aligns with the prevailing trend, making it more logical and cleaner from a risk perspective. Extra note: Long ranges often compress liquidity and build pressure. When the breakout finally happens, it’s usually fast and aggressive — patience here is key, not prediction. #Pouyanfa 🔥📊